The PanGerman Plot Unmasked: Berlin's formidable peace-trap of "the drawn war"Chéradame, André
History
The PanGerman Plot Unmasked: Berlin's formidable peace-trap of "the drawn war"
Chéradame, André
Europe -- Politics and government -- 1871-1918; Pangermanism; World War, 1914-1918
If this new order of things resulting from the treaty of Bukarest had
been allowed to develop fully, the influence of Germanism would have
been infallibly ruined in the Hapsburg Monarchy, just as had happened in
the Balkans. Under the growing pressure of her Slav and Latin elements
the partition, or at any rate, the evolution towards federation of
Austria-Hungary would have become a necessity. This federalism would
not have affected the frontiers of the Hapsburg Dominions, but it would
necessarily, and without doubt, have given political preponderance to
the Slav and Latin elements, which were the most numerous and the most
prolific. Now, those elements form an enormous majority, which was and
is resolutely hostile to any alliance with Germany. Thus, progressively,
the Hapsburg Monarchy in evolution would have become more and more
independent of Berlin in regard to her foreign policy, and as it
gradually shook itself free from its bondage to Berlin, it would, as a
necessary consequence, have drawn closer and closer to Russia, France
and England. Thus Germany would have been deprived of the artificial
prop which she has found at Vienna and at Budapest ever since the days
of Sadowa through the Germano-Magyar predominance. Finally, as a result
of peaceful development, William II. would have been confronted by a
state of things in Austria-Hungary which would have opposed a far more
formidable barrier to his oriental ambitions than that which was created
in 1913 in the Balkans, as a consequence of the treaty of Bukarest.
If we bear in mind the powerful and extraordinarily important series of
after-effects which must have followed on the new situation produced by
the treaty of Bukarest and its inevitable influence on the 28 million
Slavs and Latins of Austria-Hungary, we can readily understand that
had the European peace been maintained, the chances of executing
the Pangerman plan would have been totally and simultaneously ruined
in Turkey, in the Balkans, and in Austria-Hungary; that is to say in
the three territorial zones which, as will be seen from Chapter III,
constituted by far the most important part of the regions mapped out for
Pangerman operations in the plan of 1911.
Thus we see how the internal evolution of Austria-Hungary had reached
a point at which, as the result of the treaty of Bukarest, it was just
about to escape for ever from the influence of Berlin; this would have
broken the pivot on which all the Pangerman combinations revolved. It was
that consideration which decided William II. to make war at once.
III.
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