The Principles of Economics, with Applications to Practical ProblemsFetter, Frank A. (Frank Albert)
General
The Principles of Economics, with Applications to Practical Problems
Fetter, Frank A. (Frank Albert)
Economics
2. _Another group of theories explains the crises as being due to money,
either too much or too little._ The unregulated issue of bank-notes has
been assigned as the cause of crises, especially under the circumstances
accompanying such crises as those of 1837 and 1857 in America, when
bank-note issues chanced to be the agency most marked in the undue and
unsound expansion of credit. The issue of government paper money,
leading to inflation and speculation, is assigned as a cause leading up
to such a crisis as that of 1873, following our Civil War. The reverse
view is taken by the advocates of a cheap and plentiful money. They say
that these crises were caused, not by the expansion, but by the
reduction of bank-notes; for example, not by the inflation of prices
through the issue of greenbacks in 1862 to 1865, but by the contraction
of the currency from 1866 to 1873.
[Sidenote: Their inadequacy]
There is only a fragment of truth in these various views. It is always
lack of money at the moment of the crisis that causes any particular
failure, and in that sense it is always lack of money that causes a
crisis. But the question is, whether in any reasonable sense it can be
said that it was lack of a circulating medium before the crisis that
brought it on. There is no support for this view, except in the rare
case when the money standard is undergoing a rapid change, as in the
United States from 1866 to 1873, and the statement then needs much
modification and explanation. The money theories of crises are nearer to
the truth than are the over-production type, for the crisis is always
connected with money and prices. But it cannot be said that the absolute
amount of money in circulation in the period preceding crises gives
occasion to them. In a few instances a rapid change in the amount has
had an important effect, but this fact does not explain crises in
general.
Lack of confidence is said to be a cause of crises. This is a truism,
but the lack of confidence is not without reason and cause.
Over-confidence in the period of expanding prices is succeeded by
extreme depression when many false hopes are shattered.
[Sidenote: Capitalization theory of crises]
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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