The Principles of Economics, with Applications to Practical ProblemsFetter, Frank A. (Frank Albert)
General
The Principles of Economics, with Applications to Practical Problems
Fetter, Frank A. (Frank Albert)
Economics
3. _Crises must be explained essentially as the forcible and sudden
movement of readjustment in the mistaken capitalization of productive
agents._ Capitalization runs through all industry. The value of
everything that lasts for more than a moment is built in part upon rents
that are not actual, but expectative, whose amount, therefore, is a
matter of guesswork, or "speculation." Many unknown factors enter into
the estimate of future rents. The universal tendency to rhythm in motion
(material or psychic) manifests itself in an overestimate or
underestimate of rent and of every other factor in value. This is
emphasized by a psychological factor called the "hypnotism of the
crowd," Most men follow a leader in investment as in other things. The
spirit of speculation grows till it becomes almost a frenzy, and people
rush toward this or that investment, throwing capitalization in some
industries far out of equilibrium with that in others.
The use of credit enhances the rhythm of price. A large part of business
is done practically on margins. If the value of a thing fully paid for
falls in the hands of the owner, he alone loses; but if the value of a
thing only partly paid for falls so much that the owner is forced to
default in his payment, the loss may be transmitted along the line of
credit to every one in the series of transactions. A credit system,
highly developed, is a house of cards at a time of financial stress.
There is an element of credit in all modern business. Enterprisers enter
into strenuous rivalry to secure the profits of a rise, ever hoping to
get out whole before the crisis comes.
[Sidenote: Psychological nature and objective conditions of crises]
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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