The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific methodJevons, William Stanley
Philosophy
The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific method
Jevons, William Stanley
Logic; Science -- Methodology
It is certain that if I can draw any inference at all concerning
objects not examined, it must be done on the data afforded by the
objects which have been examined. If I judge that a distant star obeys
the law of gravity, it must be because all other material objects
sufficiently known to me obey that law. If I venture to assert that
all ruminant animals have cloven hoofs, it is because all ruminant
animals which have come under my notice have cloven hoofs. On the
other hand, I cannot safely say that all cryptogamous plants possess
a purely cellular structure, because some cryptogamous plants, which
have been examined by botanists, have a partially vascular structure.
The probability that a new cryptogam will be cellular only can be
estimated, if at all, on the ground of the comparative numbers of
known cryptogams which are and are not cellular. Thus the first step
in every induction will consist in accurately summing up the number
of instances of a particular phenomenon which have fallen under our
observation. Adams and Leverrier, for instance, must have inferred
that the undiscovered planet Neptune would obey Bode’s law, because
*all the planets known at that time obeyed it*. On what principles the
passage from the known to the apparently unknown is warranted, must be
carefully discussed in the next section, and in various parts of this
work.
It would be a great mistake, however, to suppose that Perfect Induction
is in itself useless. Even when the enumeration of objects belonging
to any class is complete, and admits of no inference to unexamined
objects, the statement of our knowledge in a general proposition is a
process of so much importance that we may consider it necessary. In
many cases we may render our investigations exhaustive; all the teeth
or bones of an animal; all the cells in a minute vegetable organ; all
the caves in a mountain side; all the strata in a geological section;
all the coins in a newly found hoard, may be so completely scrutinized
that we may make some general assertion concerning them without fear
of mistake. Every bone might be proved to contain phosphate of lime;
every cell to enclose a nucleus; every cave to hide remains of extinct
animals; every stratum to exhibit signs of marine origin; every coin
to be of Roman manufacture. These are cases where our investigation
is limited to a definite portion of matter, or a definite area on the
earth’s surface.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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