The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific methodJevons, William Stanley
Philosophy
The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific method
Jevons, William Stanley
Logic; Science -- Methodology
In approaching the consideration of the great Inductive problem,
it is very necessary that we should acquire correct notions as
to the comparative numbers of combinations which may exist under
different circumstances. The doctrine of combinations is that part of
mathematical science which applies numerical calculation to determine
the numbers of combinations under various conditions. It is a part of
the science which really lies at the base not only of other sciences,
but of other branches of mathematics. The forms of algebraical
expressions are determined by the principles of combination, and
Hindenburg recognised this fact in his Combinatorial Analysis. The
greatest mathematicians have, during the last three centuries,
given their best powers to the treatment of this subject; it was
the favourite study of Pascal; it early attracted the attention of
Leibnitz, who wrote his curious essay, *De Arte Combinatoria*, at
twenty years of age; James Bernoulli, one of the very profoundest
mathematicians, devoted no small part of his life to the investigation
of the subject, as connected with that of Probability; and in his
celebrated work, *De Arte Conjectandi*, he has so finely described the
importance of the doctrine of combinations, that I need offer no excuse
for quoting his remarks at full length.
“It is easy to perceive that the prodigious variety which appears
both in the works of nature and in the actions of men, and which
constitutes the greatest part of the beauty of the universe, is owing
to the multitude of different ways in which its several parts are
mixed with, or placed near, each other. But, because the number of
causes that concur in producing a given event, or effect, is oftentimes
so immensely great, and the causes themselves are so different one
from another, that it is extremely difficult to reckon up all the
different ways in which they may be arranged or combined together, it
often happens that men, even of the best understandings and greatest
circumspection, are guilty of that fault in reasoning which the writers
on logic call *the insufficient or imperfect enumeration of parts or
cases*: insomuch that I will venture to assert, that this is the chief,
and almost the only, source of the vast number of erroneous opinions,
and those too very often in matters of great importance, which we are
apt to form on all the subjects we reflect upon, whether they relate to
the knowledge of nature, or the merits and motives of human actions.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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