The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific methodJevons, William Stanley
Philosophy
The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific method
Jevons, William Stanley
Logic; Science -- Methodology
One point in my last chapter, that on the Results and Limits of
Scientific Method, has been criticised by Professor W. K. Clifford in
his lecture[20] on “The First and the Last Catastrophe.” In vol. ii.
p. 438 of the first edition (p. 744 of this edition) I referred to
certain inferences drawn by eminent physicists as to a limit to
the antiquity of the present order of things. “According to Sir W.
Thomson’s deductions from Fourier’s *theory of heat*, we can trace down
the dissipation of heat by conduction and radiation to an infinitely
distant time when all things will be uniformly cold. But we cannot
similarly trace the Heat-history of the Universe to an infinite
distance in the past. For a certain negative value of the time, the
formulæ give impossible values, indicating that there was some initial
distribution of heat which could not have resulted, according to known
laws of nature, from any previous distribution.”
[20] *Fortnightly Review*, New Series, April 1875, p. 480. Lecture
reprinted by the Sunday Lecture Society, p. 24.
Now according to Professor Clifford I have here misstated Thomson’s
results. “It is not according to the known laws of nature, it is
according to the known laws of conduction of heat, that Sir William
Thomson is speaking.... All these physical writers, knowing what they
were writing about, simply drew such conclusions from the facts which
were before them as could be reasonably drawn. They say, here is a
state of things which could not have been produced by the circumstances
we are at present investigating. Then your speculator comes, he reads
a sentence and says, ‘Here is an opportunity for me to have my fling.’
And he has his fling, and makes a purely baseless theory about the
necessary origin of the present order of nature at some definite point
of time, which might be calculated.”
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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