The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific methodJevons, William Stanley
Philosophy
The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific method
Jevons, William Stanley
Logic; Science -- Methodology
No rule can be given for discriminating between coincidences which
are casual and those which are the effects of law. By a fortuitous
or casual coincidence, we mean an agreement between events, which
nevertheless arise from wholly independent and different causes or
conditions, and which will not always so agree. It is a fortuitous
coincidence, if a penny thrown up repeatedly in various ways always
falls on the same side; but it would not be fortuitous if there were
any similarity in the motions of the hand, and the height of the
throw, so as to cause or tend to cause a uniform result. Now among the
infinitely numerous events, objects, or relations in the universe, it
is quite likely that we shall occasionally notice casual coincidences.
There are seven intervals in the octave, and there is nothing very
improbable in the colours of the spectrum happening to be apparently
divisible into the same or similar series of seven intervals. It is
hardly yet decided whether this apparent coincidence, with which Newton
was much struck, is well founded or not,[175] but the question will
probably be decided in the negative.
[175] Newton’s *Opticks*, Bk. I., Part ii. Prop. 3; *Nature*, vol. i.
p. 286.
It is certainly a casual coincidence which the ancients noticed between
the seven vowels, the seven strings of the lyre, the seven Pleiades,
and the seven chiefs at Thebes.[176] The accidents connected with the
number seven have misled the human intellect throughout the historical
period. Pythagoras imagined a connection between the seven planets and
the seven intervals of the monochord. The alchemists were never tired
of drawing inferences from the coincidence in numbers of the seven
planets and the seven metals, not to speak of the seven days of the
week.
[176] Aristotle’s *Metaphysics*, xiii. 6. 3.
A singular circumstance was pointed out concerning the dimensions
of the earth, sun, and moon; the sun’s diameter was almost exactly
110 times as great as the earth’s diameter, while in almost exactly
the same ratio the mean distance of the earth was greater than the
sun’s diameter, and the mean distance of the moon from the earth was
greater than the moon’s diameter. The agreement was so close that it
might have proved more than casual, but its fortuitous character is
now sufficiently shown by the fact, that the coincidence ceases to be
remarkable when we adopt the amended dimensions of the planetary system.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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