The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific methodJevons, William Stanley
Philosophy
The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific method
Jevons, William Stanley
Logic; Science -- Methodology
A considerable number of the elements have atomic weights, which are
apparently exact multiples of that of hydrogen. If this be not a law to
be ultimately extended to all the elements, as supposed by Prout, it
is a most remarkable coincidence. But, as I have observed, we have no
means of absolutely discriminating accidental coincidences from those
which imply a deep producing cause. A coincidence must either be very
strong in itself, or it must be corroborated by some explanation or
connection with other laws of nature. Little attention was ever given
to the coincidence concerning the dimensions of the sun, earth, and
moon, because it was not very strong in itself, and had no apparent
connection with the principles of physical astronomy. Prout’s Law
bears more probability because it would bring the constitution of
the elements themselves in close connection with the atomic theory,
representing them as built up out of a simpler substance.
In historical and social matters, coincidences are frequently pointed
out which are due to chance, although there is always a strong popular
tendency to regard them as the work of design, or as having some hidden
meaning. If to 1794, the number of the year in which Robespierre fell,
we add the sum of its digits, the result is 1815, the year in which
Napoleon fell; the repetition of the process gives 1830 the year
in which Charles the Tenth abdicated. Again, the French Chamber of
Deputies, in 1830, consisted of 402 members, of whom 221 formed the
party called “La queue de Robespierre,” while the remainder, 181 in
number, were named “Les honnêtes gens.” If we give to each letter a
numerical value corresponding to its place in the alphabet, it will be
found that the sum of the values of the letters in each name exactly
indicates the number of the party.
A number of such coincidences, often of a very curious character,
might be adduced, and the probability against the occurrence of each
is enormously great. They must be attributed to chance, because they
cannot be shown to have the slightest connection with the general
laws of nature; but persons are often found to be greatly influenced
by such coincidences, regarding them as evidence of fatality, that
is of a system of causation governing human affairs independently of
the ordinary laws of nature. Let it be remembered that there are an
infinite number of opportunities in life for some strange coincidence
to present itself, so that it is quite to be expected that remarkable
conjunctions will sometimes happen.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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