The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific method — John Shaqi
The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific methodJevons, William Stanley
Philosophy
The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific method
Jevons, William Stanley
Logic; Science -- Methodology
The study both of Formal Logic and of the Theory of Probabilities has
led me to adopt the opinion that there is no such thing as a distinct
method of induction as contrasted with deduction, but that induction
is simply an inverse employment of deduction. Within the last century
a reaction has been setting in against the purely empirical procedure
of Francis Bacon, and physicists have learnt to advocate the use of
hypotheses. I take the extreme view of holding that Francis Bacon,
although he correctly insisted upon constant reference to experience,
had no correct notions as to the logical method by which from
particular facts we educe laws of nature. I endeavour to show that
hypothetical anticipation of nature is an essential part of inductive
inquiry, and that it is the Newtonian method of deductive reasoning
combined with elaborate experimental verification, which has led to all
the great triumphs of scientific research.
In attempting to give an explanation of this view of Scientific Method,
I have first to show that the sciences of number and quantity repose
upon and spring from the simpler and more general science of Logic.
The Theory of Probability, which enables us to estimate and calculate
quantities of knowledge, is then described, and especial attention
is drawn to the Inverse Method of Probabilities, which involves, as
I conceive, the true principle of inductive procedure. No inductive
conclusions are more than probable, and I adopt the opinion that the
theory of probability is an essential part of logical method, so
that the logical value of every inductive result must be determined
consciously or unconsciously, according to the principles of the
inverse method of probability.
The phenomena of nature are commonly manifested in quantities of
time, space, force, energy, &c., and the observation, measurement,
and analysis of the various quantitative conditions or results
involved, even in a simple experiment, demand much employment of
systematic procedure. I devote a book, therefore, to a simple and
general description of the devices by which exact measurement is
effected, errors eliminated, a probable mean result attained, and
the probable error of that mean ascertained. I then proceed to the
principal, and probably the most interesting, subject of the book,
illustrating successively the conditions and precautions requisite
for accurate observation, for successful experiment, and for the sure
detection of the quantitative laws of nature. As it is impossible to
comprehend aright the value of quantitative laws without constantly
bearing in mind the degree of quantitative approximation to the truth
probably attained, I have devoted a special chapter to the Theory of
Approximation, and however imperfectly I may have treated this subject,
I must look upon it as a very essential part of a work on Scientific
Method.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account