What determines the price of an option is not, therefore, the likelihood
in the mind of any one person of its rising or of its falling, but the
probability of its moving widely in either direction. The price payable
for an option on stocks which fluctuate widely is much higher than upon
those which are steady, moving within very narrow limits. For instance,
whereas 10_s._ per cent. has been mentioned as an ordinary price for an
option on Consols, the price for an option on some American railroad
shares would be £4 or £5. As the price of the option depends upon the
extent, not the nature, of the fluctuation, it is naturally affected
also by the duration of the period over which the option extends. The
longer the period, of course, the higher the price. The Stock Exchange
Committee does not recognise any bargain, option or otherwise, which
extends for more than two accounts beyond the one in which it is begun,
which would mean about six weeks at the most; the law of the Stock
Exchange evidently aiming at prompt settlement of transactions. The
fact, however, that options for longer periods are not officially
recognised by no means implies that they are not carried out. Options
for three months are quite common, and it may be said that the periods
for which options are entered into extend from a day to six months.
In the case of day-to-day options, it is taken for granted that the
period ends exactly a quarter of an hour before the official closing
time of the Stock Exchange, which is half past three o'clock. In the
case of options for other periods, it is taken for granted that the
period ends with the account in which they fall due, or rather a quarter
of an hour before, with the idea of allowing time for making final
arrangements. An option may be arranged in January for, say, the end of
March account, in which case the period would expire at a quarter to one
on the Contango day at the end of that account, the account actually
ending at one o'clock. When the time expires, the giver of money for the
option has to declare whether he will exercise it or not. If he
exercises a call option, he has then to pay the money and receive the
shares. If he exercises a put option, he has then to deliver the shares
and receive the money. Except in very peculiar circumstances, the option
dealer, the taker of the money for the option, will know, when the term
arrives, whether it will be exercised or not by merely comparing the
existing market price with the option price. A call is not likely to be
exercised if the shares can be bought much more cheaply in the market,
nor is a put likely to be exercised if the shares can be sold at a much
higher price in the market.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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