The Stock Exchange from WithinVan Antwerp, William C. (William Clarkson)
History
The Stock Exchange from Within
Van Antwerp, William C. (William Clarkson)
New York Stock Exchange; Stock exchanges
The immense number of securities dealt in, coupled with the speculative
propensities of the people and the ramifications of British finance,
naturally go to make that Exchange a peculiarly sensitive and
vulnerable spot, and the American visitor may well wonder what would
happen there if the ancient bogy of war between England and any
other first-rate power should some day become a reality. War is, as
every one knows, the greatest destroyer of capital. England’s little
Transvaal war cost $1,000,000 a day, and by the Chancellor of the
Exchequer’s report resulted in a total expenditure of $1,085,000,000.
The war between Russia and Japan cost upward of $3,000,000 daily and
$2,000,000,000 all told. What a great war would cost England if that
country were to cross swords with one of the powers may be conjectured;
what would happen in the Stock Exchange taxes the imagination.
In the month in which these lines are written the London Stock
Exchange and all the continental Bourses are having their periodic
scare over a war in the Balkans. British consols have fallen almost
seven points from the high price of the year; French rentes seven,
German 3s. six, and Russian 4s. seven.[111] These are very severe
declines for government securities of that class, and if they can fall
abruptly over difficulties in the Balkans, what would happen were
these countries themselves involved in war with foemen of their own
class? Russian consolidated 4s. fell eleven points and Japanese 5s.
twelve in the first month of the Manchurian war, and in our war with
Spain, Spanish 4s. fell from 61 to 29¾. If such things can happen to
government securities, what would happen to all the 9000 odd industrial
and kindred securities dealt in on the London Exchange should England
take up the sword with, let us say, Germany? We are not left to
conjecture on this point, for in the week that has just witnessed
the Balkan scare there have been some really tremendous slumps in
securities--collapses out of proportion, it would seem at this
distance, to the magnitude of the political issues threatened.
In Paris, for example, there has just been witnessed a two-day break of
185 points in Sosnoviche Collieries, a one-day break of 165 points in
Bakou Naphtha, a decline within a few hours of 115 points in Russian
Naphtha and overwhelming breaks of from 50 to 150 francs in Paris Light
and Transport shares, Rio Tintos, and Electrics. No such demoralization
has been seen in any foreign financial market within twenty-five years.
This slump was no doubt due in large part to a top-heavy speculative
position and to consequent financial congestion, but it was the
Balkan war-cloud that caused the real difficulty none the less, and
it supplies an outsider with an idea of what may happen in a real
emergency.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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