The Story of the Bank of England: (A History of English Banking, and a Sketch of the Money Market)Warren, Henry
History
The Story of the Bank of England: (A History of English Banking, and a Sketch of the Money Market)
Warren, Henry
Bank of England -- History; Banks and banking -- England
This brings us to the markets for bills of exchange, the prices of
which, like those of every other security, are settled by supply
and demand. If, at a given date, this country owes a foreign nation
considerably more than it has to receive, then bills on England will be
plentiful in that country; and, further, they will be cheap, because,
as debtors to England have less to remit than the aggregate of bills
on England offered for sale, the supply will be in excess of the
demand, and English bills, consequently, can be bought at a discount.
Conversely, the supply of bills in London on the foreign country will
be smaller than the sum English debtors owe therein, and in order
to save the expense of exporting gold, such bills will be eagerly
sought after, and, as the supply is smaller than the demand, buyers
soon drive them to a premium, when the rate of exchange is said to be
"unfavourable" to England.
As the balance of our international indebtedness must be cancelled by
gold, it follows that the fewer the bills offering the higher will be
the prices paid for them; and when, just towards the end, it becomes
evident that the supply is limited the bidding is often spirited; but
the premium paid cannot exceed for any considerable length of time the
expense incurred by exporting and insuring the precious metals between
any two countries, as the debtor always has the choice of despatching
gold to his foreign creditor, and, naturally, he chooses the cheaper
expedient.
The extreme fluctuations are called "gold points," and they mark the
limit to premiums procurable on bills of exchange. The table given
below will show us those points at which gold will probably either
leave or reach this country:
============================================================
Exchange. | Mint Par. | Gold | Gold
| of Exchange. | Exports. | Imports.
-----------------+------------------+-----------+-----------
London on Paris | Francs 25·22½ | 25·12½ | 25·32½
Berlin | Marks 20·43 | 20·34 | 20·52
New York | Dollars 4·87 | 4·84 | 4·90
============================================================
When the rates are near those given in the second column, the Bank,
if its reserve be low, begins to consider the advisability of raising
its rate of discount, for it is evident that foreign bills are at a
stiff premium, and that a demand for gold may be made upon it at any
moment. Of course the difference between the "gold points" gives
scope for speculation, and some cambists gamble in bills for the rise
or the fall just as speculators do in securities. Then, again, the
arbitrageurs largely influence prices by buying and selling securities
which are dealt in on the Stock Exchanges of more than one country.
Wars, revolutions, panics, and social upheavals also cause abnormal
fluctuations in the rates.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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