The Theory of Stock Exchange SpeculationCrump, Arthur
General
The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation
Crump, Arthur
Speculation
Years of experience of this mode of speculating have only shown, as with
other kinds of speculation, that the option money once paid is hardly
ever recovered. We have taken the trouble to inquire of those who have
been for as many as thirty years in the markets, and such is their
experience.[17]
[Sidenote: THE FORTNIGHTLY SETTLEMENT.]
The Stock Exchange settling days are in the middle and at the end of each
month. Each fortnightly settlement occupies three days; the first is the
carrying over or contango day, the second is the name or ticket-day,
and the third is the day for paying the differences, or the amount of
money for stock or shares to be taken off the market. The settlement in
Consols is monthly, and near the commencement. The extent of the business
transacted in the Stock markets has been very accurately measured since
the establishment of the Clearing House. All transactions being settled
by cheques, the increase in the Clearing House totals on a Stock Exchange
settling day correctly indicates the amount of money which has passed
between buyers and sellers.[18]
[Sidenote: SPECULATION BY MEMBERS OF THE HOUSE.]
Speculation inside the Stock Exchange by members of the House does
not present many features which entitle it to comment apart from the
speculation as it is practised by the public outside. It is natural to
suppose that members of the Stock Exchange are better able to operate
in stocks and shares, with a view to profit by speculation than the
public who, as a rule, are ignorant of the art they endeavour to practise
until all they have left is some bitter experience. Those whose daily
business it is to be in the Stock markets must of course know that the
outside public are always dropping their money, and in this respect the
conviction comes nearer home to them that the play is not worth the
candle. There are speculators who are members of the Stock Exchange, but
we believe it is but a very small minority that troubles itself with
speculation as the principal means by which the profits are made. As a
rule, it may be laid down that a dealer who goes out of his market to
speculate is just as likely to lose his money as an outside haphazard
speculator. Each stock, and each description of shares, has its history,
and is influenced more or less by special causes, as well as by general
causes. Each stock, therefore, requires to be constantly watched, after
it has been studied, and its peculiar characteristics well ascertained.
When it is said that these stocks and shares are numbered not by tens,
or by hundreds, but by thousands, it is easy to understand that no one
man can master the special knowledge concerning each, which however every
jobber who understands his business should do, within the limit of those
in which he usually deals. Consequently, a jobber devotes himself to a
few descriptions which circumstances or inclination may cause him to
select. He confines himself to a particular market, where he is to be
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