The Theory of Stock Exchange SpeculationCrump, Arthur
General
The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation
Crump, Arthur
Speculation
A man who wins by haphazard speculation, who chances to operate
successfully until he has filled his pockets, and retires with his gains
from so fascinating an arena, is one in a hundred. Any one who knows
anything of Stock Exchange speculation will confirm the statement that,
to the ordinary run of men, the game is not worth the candle. There
are, however, conditions under which speculation, in a market where ten
or fifty thousand pounds can be lost in half-an-hour, may, under given
conditions, be systematically practised profitably. First, and most
important perhaps of all these conditions, is the temperament of the
speculator, upon which we propose to speak in this chapter.
[Sidenote: COOL-HEADEDNESS AN INDISPENSABLE CONDITION OF SUCCESS.]
A man who is excitable and easily led away from a set purpose will, if he
go deep into speculation, be soon involved in hopeless ruin. A method of
proceeding that has been formed by a careful judgment which has provided
for all contingencies, once adopted, should be adhered to as a rule. To
be able to follow this advice it is necessary that a speculator should
possess a coolness that is not affected by the excitement into which
others are thrown by unexpected events; that he should cultivate the
art of concealing the dissatisfaction felt on sustaining a loss, which
is read at once in the face of a nervous or excitable man; and that he
should have the power of calling forth emotions which are the opposite
of those commonly manifested under given circumstances. In speaking of
the conditions under which speculation may be successfully pursued as
a business, it must be understood that we are referring to the one man
in the hundred—the professional operator—who will frequently in the
elaboration of his arrangements find it necessary to be in the markets
himself, gaining what advantage he can by personally dealing either as a
jobber or a broker. It is obvious that, when a man enters a market with
a view to doing business, his object is to transact it upon the most
favourable terms for himself. He confronts those who are prepared to deal
with him either way, that is, to buy or to sell. According as he “opens”
to the dealers, or, in other words, indicates what he wants to do, the
dealers will make their prices. If he be a buyer, they will try to get
him to pay as high price as possible and _vice versa_. His business
therefore, if he be really a buyer, is to try to look as if he were a
seller. He may enter the market under a variety of influences. He may
know from private sources, for certain, that a stock is about to improve
much, and he may intend to buy as much as he can get at a fixed limit as
regards price. If he is anxious to operate largely, and possess but a
poor control over his countenance, the probabilities are that he will be
read at once, and the market be immediately raised above his limit if he
attempt to buy any considerable sum. In the same way, if being a broker,
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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