The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation — John Shaqi
The Theory of Stock Exchange SpeculationCrump, Arthur
General
The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation
Crump, Arthur
Speculation
Any one who has moved about at all amongst financial experts, and has
closely observed them, must have noticed that they seem to be men far
above the average as regards penetrative intelligence, appearing to
possess that calm precision of judgment, which, as a rule, is only
secured by the deliberations of many persons. Men who have amassed a
great deal of money, by their own unaided intelligence, have been men
of steady accurate foresight, men who have possessed a large capacity
of judging what the public will do in the Stock markets under certain
circumstances. A great speculator must make it his study to gather into
a focus the various effects that are likely to arise under a given
transformation of circumstances, analyze them, set one against the other,
and calculate out the effect that will be caused when their forces are
spent.
[Sidenote: THE COOL MAN, OR PROFESSIONAL SPECULATOR.]
We will now suppose we are watching the speculator of the cool
calculating temperament, and also the excitable man who is always acting
on new ideas, which, he thinks, will occur to no one else until he
has made money out of them. The cool man sits quietly down and reasons
with himself, and arrives at the conclusion that what is indispensable
to him as ground work is, first, some capital, a sum proportioned to
the contemplated extent of his operations. Without this to commence
with, speculating under any conditions is about as sensible, and about
as likely to be followed by the desired result, as attempting to ferry
people across a deep stream without the aid of a boat. Secondly, early
information is equally necessary from all other markets where the
securities are dealt in in which he contemplates speculating. To render
such information as far as possible trustworthy, a branch house in the
cities where there are important bourses is desirable. These two portions
of the machinery are absolutely indispensable, if success in large
operations is to be the rule and not the exception; and the man with the
cool temperament will probably owe his success as much to the judgment
which showed the necessity of these accessories, as to the well and
timely directed operations which, based upon them, result in profit.
[Sidenote: OBSERVANCE OF THE DAILY PUBLISHED TELEGRAMS FROM ABROAD.]
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