The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation — John Shaqi
The Theory of Stock Exchange SpeculationCrump, Arthur
General
The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation
Crump, Arthur
Speculation
The times are very much changed since the head of a great financial
establishment, long since gone to his rest, set sail from the shores of
France as soon as he was well assured that Wellington was over-powering
the legions of Napoleon in 1815, hastened to London, and bought up
all the Consols he could lay his hands on, and thereby realised a
considerable fortune for himself and his heirs at one _coup_. Here is a
memorable case in point as illustrating the necessity of laying down a
systematic plan of operations and by sheer hard work, and at the risk
of life and limb, carrying it out to a successful issue. The ordinary
speculator is not to be found with these qualities of dogged perseverance
in elaborating a plan of operations, and keeping to strict principles of
action from the outset, never allowing his mind to be diverted from his
system except under certain special circumstances, for which a margin
has been allowed. The electric wire has changed matters very materially
in this respect. There is more ease in these times as regards individual
locomotion for the operator who has keenly to watch the fluctuations in
all markets; he has silent, but at the same time gigantic forces, at his
disposal, which he can exercise in pretty nearly any quarter of the globe
where there is need for them; but it cuts both ways—he can make a fortune
in an hour, or less time, and lose it with the same rapidity, beyond hope
of recall should the second line of judgment condemn the action of the
first.
[Sidenote: CLOSER UNIFORMITY OF VALUES IN ALL MARKETS THROUGH THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THE TELEGRAPH SYSTEM.]
[Sidenote: A SPECULATOR CANNOT HOPE TO SUCCEED IN ANY DEGREE UNLESS HIS
ARRANGEMENTS ARE AS COMPLETE AS THOSE OF A MAN ENGAGED IN BONA FIDE
BUSINESS.]
All the markets of the world are regulated to a greater nicety as regards
value since the more complete development of railroads and of the
telegraph system. Each great article of commerce has its head quarters in
its respective country, and value from that point is regulated at all the
minor stations where it is dealt in, to use a metaphor, in the same way
that the right time is flashed through the electric wire to the principal
clocks in England at one o’clock from the Observatory at Greenwich. It
is the custom consequently for all the leading merchants and dealers to
be supplied by telegram with the prices current of those articles dealt
in in all other markets, in which they are mainly interested. To compete
with those who make a steady profit by buying and selling in obedience
to _bona fide_ orders, a speculator must at least have his arrangements
on a par with the non-speculator, if even then he can expect to hold
his own without a still more elaborate and costly system of obtaining
information, as his necessary profits can in most cases only be secured
by his being in a position to anticipate a coming change.
[Sidenote: THE DIMINUTION OF GLUTS IN ALL MARKETS.]
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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