The Theory of Stock Exchange SpeculationCrump, Arthur
General
The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation
Crump, Arthur
Speculation
One of the reasons why speculation in high-class securities has more or
less ceased is obviously because Consols and such like stocks are more
firmly held than they used to be when the country was oftener engaged
in wars, or disturbed by semi-revolutionary agitations. Then again,
the very fact of high-class stocks remaining at a uniformly high level
of price, causes a certain class of investors to buy them for simply
absolute security’s sake. There are numbers of people who hold Consols
because they are perfectly certain their £3 odd per cent. per annum will
always be paid. They never trouble themselves about the price of the
stock, and continue entirely apathetic whether the price rises to 120 or
falls to 50. It stands to reason that, as the country grows in wealth,
so do the holders of these high-class stocks increase in number, and as
such securities are purchased largely for permanent holding, and purely
as a means of providing income, so is steadiness imparted to the price,
which tends consequently to be less and less disturbed in the absence
of exceptionally adverse influences. There are always large numbers of
persons in a country like England who are retiring from active life to
live on an income, derived through the medium of public securities of one
form or another, which is hereafter to be a purchasing power dependent
upon the labour of others. One man does his share of work in the world,
and in the process he provides for his future wants through the medium of
saved capital. There can be no doubt that if the English national debt
were to be paid off there would be a considerable commotion among those
holders of Consols who would be satisfied with nothing else half as well.
While the times in which we live therefore, continue quiet, the credit
of the Government is firmly maintained, and the savings of the people
are large, there will be always more buyers than sellers of high-class
securities while the return for the money is not less than about 3
per cent. Buyers would in most cases probably prefer to look in other
directions than pay anything over par for Consols. The fluctuations under
such circumstances are consequently very small, and there is nothing
literally but a bare bone for a speculator to pick, which is not worth
the commission, and he migrates into other markets.
CHAPTER XIII.
THE SHORT “TURNS,” OR, WHO MAKES THE PROFITS?
[Sidenote: THE “TURN” A KNOWN QUANTITY ALWAYS AGAINST THE SPECULATOR.]
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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