The Theory of Stock Exchange SpeculationCrump, Arthur
General
The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation
Crump, Arthur
Speculation
Although we have already alluded to this question of “turns,” in
referring to the forces, so to speak, in the markets which are arrayed
against the speculator, we have thought it advisable, subsequently, to
give it a separate chapter. The “turn” is a known quantity about which
there is no doubt, and in which there is no element of chance to be
reckoned upon according to any doctrine of probabilities, as sometimes
favouring one side, and sometimes the other. The “turn” may be described
in brief as the income of the jobber, or in other words that fractional
part of the whole sum which, if a buyer of some stock, he gets by its
sale in excess of what he pays—and if he be on the other hand, a seller,
the “turn” is that proportional part of the whole sum which he gets in
excess on buying back the stock, in order to square his book. Supposing
the two operations of a purchase and a sale proceed first from a bull
speculator, and secondly from a bear; the jobber in the one case covers
himself as soon as he can by a purchase of the stock sold by the first
operation, and by the sale of an amount equal to that bought by the
second operation.
[Sidenote: THE “TURN” A LOSS ON GOING INTO AND ALSO IN COMING OUT OF THE
MARKET.]
The “turn” comes in the second rank of obstacles which stand between the
speculator and the goal, or profit, which it is his aim to reach, and
is the most formidable of the fixed and, it may be said, inevitable,
elements arrayed against him at the start. When a speculator enters the
markets, therefore, he has to do his share of keeping both the broker
and the jobber, and that not only when he commences his operations,
but also when he finishes. There is the “turn” to be paid on going
in, and also on coming out. The same may be said of the broker, only
under certain circumstances. It is customary for a broker to charge no
second commission on closing an operation, if it be done in the same
account as that in which the operation was commenced. As speculators,
however, especially the haphazard kind, are never contented to take small
profits, and get out of the markets, they almost invariably pay a second
commission. Thus there may be said to be two double fixed quantities,
which are piled up against a speculator at the start.[44]
[Sidenote: THE DIFFERENCE IN THE CHARACTER OF THE “TURN” AS COMPARED WITH
FORMER TIMES.]
[Sidenote: SPECIAL DANGER OF SPECULATING IN A STOCK THAT IS QUOTED VERY
WIDE.]
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