The Theory of Stock Exchange SpeculationCrump, Arthur
General
The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation
Crump, Arthur
Speculation
[10] The settlement does not exist in the New York market.
[11] Contango is equal to New York carrying charges—in New York so much
per cent. per annum, fixed daily; in London a certain sum from one
settling day until the next.
H. W. R.
[12] Equal here to borrowing stock flat, or even paying for the use of it.
H. W. R.
[13] Backwardation is equal to the paying for the use of borrowed stock
at the New York Stock Exchange.
H. W. R.
[14] In New York, “flat.”
H. W. R.
[15] Called “straddle” in New York.
H. W. R.
[16] In London all options are for a fixed date; at New York they are
generally made so that the option can be exercised at any time during the
pending of the contract.
[17] This may be true in a certain sense, but if options are considered
as an insurance feature, it is generally expected and hoped that they may
not have to be exercised, and will simply answer the purpose of insurance
and margin.
[18] This does not apply to the New York market.
H. W. R.
[19] In London all options are made at about the current market price,
and the premium paid varies with the character of the stock and length
of time, while in New York puts, calls, or spreads are generally so
much above or below the market price, and the premium consequently much
smaller than at London. The only exception here is the “straddle.”
H. W. R.
[20] This is not considered so in New York, where we generally expect a
so-called “January rise,” which, however, sometimes does not come; and
also sometimes expect a bear market in the fall of the year, when money
is employed to move crops, which, however, also very often disappoints
the operator.
[21] Somewhat superstitious. I have often observed it just the other way,
although generally a very dull market is expected during the hot summer
months.
H. W. R.
[22] This about corresponds with our spring and fall trade, when the
newspapers teem with interviews with prominent merchants and bankers.
H. W. R.
[23] Of course, this applies, in a general way, more to the London than
to the New York Stock Exchange.
H. W. R.
[24] This applies also to the New York market in so far as that after a
large bull speculation there will be heavy realizations, and after a bear
campaign or attack the covering process will take place.
[25] This applies to the so-called “lottery loans.”
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