We are setting out to explain the approximation to the truth provided
by twentieth-century astronomy. No doubt it is not the final
truth, but it is a step on towards it, and unless we are greatly
in error it is very much nearer to the truth than was the teaching
of nineteenth-century astronomy. It claims to be nearer the truth,
not because the twentieth-century astronomer claims to be better at
guessing than his predecessors of the nineteenth-century, but because
he has incomparably more facts at his disposal. Guessing has gone out
of fashion in science; it was at best a poor substitute for knowledge,
and modern science, eschewing guessing severely, confines itself,
except on very rare occasions, to ascertained facts and the inferences
which, so far as can be seen, follow unequivocally from them.
It would of course be futile to pretend that the whole interest of
astronomy centres round the questions just mentioned. Astronomy offers
at least three other groups of interest which may be described as
utilitarian, scientific and aesthetic.
At first astronomy, like other sciences, was studied for mainly
utilitarian reasons. It provided measures of time, and enabled mankind
to keep a tally on the flight of the seasons; it taught him to find
his way across the trackless desert, and later, across the trackless
ocean. In the guise of astrology, it held out hopes of telling him
his future. There was nothing intrinsically absurd in this, for even
to-day the astronomer is largely occupied with foretelling the future
movements of the heavenly bodies, although not of human affairs—a
considerable part of the present book will consist of an attempt
to foretell the future, and predict the final end, of the material
universe. Where the astrologers went wrong was in supposing that
terrestrial empires, kings and individuals formed such important items
in the scheme of the universe that the motions of the heavenly bodies
could be intimately bound up with their fates. As soon as man began
to realise, even faintly, his own insignificance in the universe,
astrology died a natural and inevitable death.
The utilitarian aspect of astronomy has by now shrunk to very modest
proportions. The national observatories still broadcast the time of
day, and help to guide ships across the ocean, but the centre of
astronomical interest has shifted so completely that the remotest of
nebulae arouse incomparably more enthusiasm than “clock-stars,” and the
average astronomer totally neglects our nearest neighbours in space,
the planets, for stars so distant that their light takes hundreds,
thousands, or even millions, of years to reach us.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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