The Value of MoneyAnderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
General
The Value of Money
Anderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
Money
A further point must be made: Sigma pQ, where the Q's are interpreted as
abstract numbers, is a summary of concrete money payments, each of which
has a causal explanation, and each of which has effected a concrete
exchange. Mathematically, PT is equal to [Greek: S] pQ, just as 3 times
4 is equal to 2 times 6. But from the standpoint of the theory of
causation, a vast difference is made. Three children four feet high
equal in aggregate height two men six feet high. But the assertion of
equality between the three children and the two men represents a high
degree of abstraction, and need not be significant for any given
purpose. Similarly, the restatement of [Greek: S] pQ as PT. One might
restate [Greek: S] pQ as PT, defining P as the _sum_ (instead of the
average) of the p's, and T as the weighted average (instead of the sum)
of the Q's. Such a substitution would be equally legitimate,
mathematically, and the equation, MV = PT equally true. [Greek: S] pQ
might be factorized in an indefinite number of ways. But it is important
to note that in PT, as defined by Professor Fisher,[144] we are at three
removes from the concrete exchanges in which actual concrete causation
is focused: we have first taken, for each commodity, an average, for a
period, say a year, of the concrete prices paid for a unit of that
commodity, and multiplied that average by the abstract number of units
of that commodity sold in that year; we have then summed up all these
products into a giant aggregate, in which we have mingled hopelessly a
mass of concrete causes which actually affected the particular prices;
then, finally, we have factorized this giant composite into two numbers
which have no concrete reality, namely, an average of the averages of
the prices, and a sum of the abstract numbers of the sums of the goods
of each kind sold in a given year--a sum which exists only as a pure
number, and which, consequently, is unlikely to be a causal factor! It
may turn out that there is reason for all this, but if a _causal_ theory
is the object for which the equation of exchange is designed, a strong
presumption against its usefulness is raised. Both P and T are so highly
abstract that it is improbable that any significant statements can be
made of either of them. As concepts gain in generality and abstractness,
they lose in content; as they gain in "extension" they lose (as a rule)
in "intension." On the other side of the equation, we also look in vain
for a truly concrete factor. V, the average velocity of money for the
year, is highly abstract. It is a mathematical summary of a host of
complex activities of men. Professor Fisher thinks that V obeys fairly
simple laws, as we shall later see, but at least that point must be
demonstrated. Even M is not concrete. At a given moment, the money in
circulation is a concrete quantity, but the average for the year is
abstract, and cannot claim to be a direct causal factor, with one
uniform tendency.
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