The Value of MoneyAnderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
General
The Value of Money
Anderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
Money
Of course Professor Fisher himself recognizes that his
central problem is, not to state and justify, mathematically, his
equation[145]--that is a work of supererogation, and the statistical
chapters devoted to it seem to me to be largely wasted labor. Professor
Fisher recognizes that his central problem is to establish _causal_
relations among the factors in his equation of exchange. It is from the
standpoint of its adaptability as a tool in a theory of causation that I
have been considering it. It should be noted that "volume of trade," as
frequently used, means not numbers of goods sold, but the money-price of
all the goods exchanged, or PT. It is in this sense of "trade" that
bank-clearings are supposed to be an index of volume of trade. The
sundering of the p's and Q's really is a big assumption of many of the
points at issue. Indeed, it is absolutely impossible to sunder PT. It is
always the p aspect of the thing that is significant, Fisher himself
finally interprets T, statistically, as billions of _dollars_.[146] As a
matter of mathematical necessity, either P must be defined in terms of T
or T defined in terms of P. The V's and M and M' may be independently
defined, and arbitrary numbers may be assigned for them limited only by
the necessity that MV + M'V' be a fixed sum.[147] But P and T cannot,
with respect to each other, be thus independently defined. The highly
artificial character of T has been pointed out by Professor E. B.
Wilson, of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, in his review of
Fisher's _Purchasing Power of Money_ in the _Bulletin of the American
Mathematical Society_, April, 1914, pp. 377-381. "Various consequences
are readily obtained from the equation of exchange, but the
determination of the equation itself is not so easy as it might look to
a careless thinker. The difficulties lie in the fact that P and T
individually are quite indeterminate. An average price-level P means
nothing till the rules for obtaining the average are specified, and
independent rules for evaluating P and T may not satisfy [the equation.]
For instance, suppose sugar is 5c. a pound, bacon 20c. a pound, coffee
35c. a pound. The average price is 20c. If a person buys 10 lbs. of
sugar, 3 lbs. of bacon, and 1 lb. of coffee, the total trading is in 14
lbs. of goods. The total expenditure is $1.45; the product of the
average price by the total trade is $2.80; the equation is very far from
satisfied." Wilson thinks it necessary, to make the matter straight, to
define T, arbitrarily as (MV + M'V')/P in which case, the equation is
true, but so obviously a truism that no one would see any point in
stating it. T no longer has any independent standing. Fisher has,
however, an escape from this status for T, but only by reducing P to the
same position. He defines P as the _weighted_ average of the p's (27),
and fails, I think, to see how completely this ties it up with T. The
only method of weighting the p's that will leave the equation straight
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Elsewhere in the archive
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account