The Value of MoneyAnderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
General
The Value of Money
Anderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
Money
In the statistical chapter to follow, it will be shown that this
estimate is a very decided exaggeration. Deposits made in banks greatly
overcount trade. Very many payments represent duplications, loans and
repayments, taxes, etc., and are in no sense trade. This is true of all
classes of deposits, wholesale and retail, as well as "all other." But
for the present, I am concerned with the question, not of the absolute
magnitude of the volume of trade, but rather, the questions of its
character, of the elements that enter into it, and, above all, of the
extent to which it is physically determined by technical conditions of
production, and the extent to which it is flexible, a matter of
speculation, etc.
We may approach this question from the angle of several bodies of
statistical information. First, the question may be raised: what is
there in the country which could be bought and sold enough in the course
of a year to give us anything like so great a total? The subtractions
which we shall find it necessary to make will still leave us an enormous
total.
The United States Census Bureau[251] in 1904 reached the conclusion that
the _total wealth_ of the country was only $107,000,000,000. Of this,
over $62,000,000,000 was in real estate; $11,000,000,000 in railroads;
street railways, over $2,000,000,000; telephone, telegraph, water and
light, and similar enterprises total nearly $3,000,000,000 more. None of
these things enter into ordinary wholesale and retail trade. The items
that one would ordinarily think of are agricultural products,
$1,900,000,000; manufactured products, $7,400,000,000; mining products,
$400,000,000. Can these things be exchanged often enough in the course
of a year to account for $387,000,000,000!
These figures are for 1904,[252] whereas Fisher's figures are for 1909.
If the Census Bureau had taken an inventory in 1909, the figures would
doubtless be larger. The inventory for 1912 made by the Census Bureau
does show a very considerable increase, the largest item being due to a
rise in real estate values. The figures for agricultural, manufacturing,
and mining products are, also, figures for a given time rather than for
total production through the year. But, making all the allowance one
pleases, it is quite incredible that one should reach a figure of
$387,000,000,000 by taking only the exchanges necessary to bring raw
materials through the various stages of production to the consumer. The
greater part of the $387,000,000,000 is to be explained in another way!
A detailed analysis of Kinley's figures, on which the estimate of total
trade is based, leads clearly to the same conclusion. Kinley's figures
for the banks that reported on March 16, 1909, are as follows:
Retail deposits 60 millions
Wholesale deposits 124 millions
"All other" deposits 502 millions
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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