The Value of MoneyAnderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
General
The Value of Money
Anderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
Money
The evidence from the Chicago Board of Trade, with reference to the
extent of clearings within the exchange there, comes in a letter from
the Secretary of the Board of Trade to Professor Taussig. The only
clearing house transactions are in connection with "futures." All
"spot" transactions are paid in full by check. All futures other than
those offset by clearing are paid in full by check. The total amount put
through the Clearing House in 1915 was 118 millions, of which the
balances paid were 41 millions (saving checks to the extent of 77
millions). This 77 millions is a trifle indeed as compared with the gap
of 245 billions we are trying to fill! It is a trifle also as compared
with the business done on the Board of Trade. The Secretary estimates
that commodities to the value of $375,000,000 actually arrived on the
exchange in 1915. On the average, the figure would be $350,000,000. For
the Stock Yards "it is approximately the same--last year was
$375,000,000. Of fruits, vegetables, poultry, butter, eggs, etc., sold
in South Water Street, it is claimed by their statisticians, the value
is $350,000,000, or a total of about eleven hundred millions _arriving_
[Italics mine] yearly at this great market place, all of which is paid
for by checks, and when the ownership changes, the change of ownership
is always paid by check." How many times the goods change hands, cannot
be stated on the basis of records of the Board of Trade. The Secretary
contents himself with saying that they are "sold and resold many times."
We have discussed this, on the basis of reputed figures of the Federal
tax on grain futures in 1915, in our chapter on "Volume of Money and
Volume of Trade." In any case, it is clear that the 77 millions of
checks economized, though absolutely great, is relatively a bagatelle.
It is, moreover, more than compensated for by loan transactions. The
Secretary estimates that for a sixty-day period, when grain is coming
in, from two to four millions will be lent by the banks daily on
_arriving_ grain. How great the loan transactions on subsequent sales
will be we can only conjecture.
While able to find, then, important cases of trade and speculation
which dispense with the use of checks, I cannot find anything of
magnitude sufficient to aid Professor Fisher's case, and I find, on the
other hand, enormous overcounting in every field where business and
banks meet, as well as in the relations of banks to non-commercial
depositors.
I conclude, therefore, with reference to the figures of Fisher and
Kemmerer[448] for volume of trade, that they are much exaggerated for
the base year, and that for every other year they are wholly wrong, both
because of their excessive magnitude, and because the index of variation
has been wrongly chosen.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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