The Value of MoneyAnderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
General
The Value of Money
Anderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
Money
The discussion of P, the price-level, in the statistics of Kemmerer and
Fisher need not be extended. P, for the equation of exchange, and for
the quantity theory, is a _weighted_ average, each price that goes into
it being weighted by the number of exchanges involving the commodity of
which it is the price. The weighting of P should correspond to the
elements in T, the volume of trade, and should vary from year to year,
as the elements in T change.[449] Now Kemmerer's P is weighted as
follows: wages, 3, security prices, 8, wholesale prices, 89.[450] If our
conclusions with reference to the composition of the volume of trade, as
developed in the chapter on "Volume of Money and Volume of Trade," are
valid, this weighting gives us a P which has no relevance to the
equation of exchange. The wholesale items should have a weight of not
more than one-sixth of the total for 1909. Certain commodities, as wheat
and cotton, in which there is heavy speculation, should be given great
weight, and securities should have, probably, the greatest weight of
all. If "trade" is to be extended to cover transactions in bills of
exchange and loan transactions (as it is by Kemmerer),[451] then P
should contain these things, weighted more than all else put together,
particularly if call loans are included. The weights should be radically
altered from year to year. We should then get a P which would fit the
"equation of exchange"--though what else it would be good for is hard to
say! The same criticism applies to Fisher's P. It is dominated by
wholesale prices.[452] It therefore has no relevance to an equation of
exchange in which only one-sixth at the very most of the items are
wholesale items. Neither Fisher nor Kemmerer alter their weights in P at
all, to correspond to yearly alterations in the composition of T.
As _indicia_ of changes in the _absolute value_ of money, Kemmerer's and
Fisher's index numbers, or other index numbers of numerous wholesale
prices, with a substantial weighting of wages, are probably better than
an index dominated by stocks. Stocks fluctuate more widely than
wholesale prices and wages, their values are more affected by variations
in business confidence, and by variations in the rate of interest. For
measuring _the value of money_, the index numbers here criticised are
very good. But for the purpose for which they are chosen, namely, to
fill the equation of exchange, and to measure variations in a
_price-level_ of the sort the quantity theory and the equation of
exchange are concerned with, they are simply irrelevant. If it were
really true that such an index number varied with the quantity of money,
then the quantity theory would be effectively disproved!
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Elsewhere in the archive
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account