Hughes, William Morris, 1864-1952; Lloyd George, David, 1863-1945; World War, 1914-1918 -- Economic aspects
Is the Paris Pact practical? Will it withstand the logical pressure of
business demand and supply when the war is ended? How will it affect
American trade?
To try to get the answer I talked with many men in England and France
who were intimately concerned. Some had sat in the conference; others
had helped to shape its approach; still others were dedicated to its
far-spreading purpose. I found an astonishing conflict of opinion. Even
those who had attended this most momentous of all economic conferences
were sceptical about complete results. Yet no one questioned the intent
to smash enemy trade. Will our interests be pinched at the same time?
Regardless of what any European statesman may say to the contrary, one
deduction of supreme significance to us arises out of the whole
proposition. Summed up, it is this:
Mutual preference by or for the members of either of the great European
alliances automatically creates a discrimination against those outside!
Whether we face the Teuton or the Allies' group--or both--in the grand
economic line-up, we shall have to fight for commercial privileges that
once knew no ban.
There are two well-defined beliefs about the practical working out of
the pact as a pact. Let us take the objections first. They find
expression in a strong body of opinion that the whole procedure is both
unhuman and uneconomic--a campaign document, as it were, conceived in
the heat and passion of a great war, projected for political effect in
cementing the allied lines. In short, it is what business men would call
a glorified and stimulated "selling talk," framed to sell good will
between the nations that now propose to carry war to shop and mill and
mine.
"But," as a celebrated British economist said to me in London, "while
all this talk of Economic Alliance sounds well and is serving its
purpose, the fact must not be overlooked that, though war ends, business
keeps right on. Self-interest will dictate the policy that pays the
best." This is a typical comment.
Now we get to the meat of the matter: By the terms of the pact half a
dozen important nations--to say nothing of the smaller fry--are bound to
a hard-and-fast trade agreement. Business, in brief, is projected in
terms of nations.
Go behind this new battle front and you will find that it conflicts with
an uncompromising commercial rule. Why? Simply because, so far as
business is concerned, nations may propose, but human beings dispose.
Individuals, not countries, do business! Being human, these individuals
are apt to follow the line of least resistance. Hence, the best-laid
plans for imposing international industrial teamwork are likely to
founder on those weaknesses of human nature that begin and end in the
pocketbook.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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