The war and our financial fabricWall, Walter William
History
The war and our financial fabric
Wall, Walter William
Banks and banking -- Great Britain; Currency question -- Great Britain; World War, 1914-1918 -- Economic aspects -- Great Britain
If, therefore, banks cease to lend in order to keep up a high ratio of
reserves to liabilities, what will be the inevitable effect of this
upon the reserve of the Bank of England? They will drive borrowers, as
has been explained in former chapters, to the Bank. As the Bank begins
to lend, so will the ratio of its reserve to its liabilities drop. Mr.
Cole says the Bank of England will always lend _at a price_. If, then,
the Bank’s ratio drops, then the ratio of the reserves of the joint
stock banks must fall, seeing that they hold their reserves at the Bank
of England. The ratio will then drop in proportion to the aggregate
bank liabilities of the kingdom.
The only remedy, then, is for the Bank of England also to refuse to
lend. But Mr. Bagehot and other critics say this would bring on and
aggravate a crisis. So far from refusing to lend, banks, they say, must
lend liberally, with both hands. How, then, are the Bank of England and
the other banks to lend liberally without increasing their liabilities
and reducing the proportion? The proportion could be maintained only by
an inflow of gold proportionate to the rise in the liabilities. How are
we to start this inflow at the critical moment and maintain it?
It cannot be done. There can, however, be an automatic inflow, but only
of legal tender notes, and legal tender, from the standpoint of bank
solvency, is as potent as gold. We cannot produce gold at will, but we
can produce paper at will.
Our gold reserves should be controlled, as I have insisted already,
not solely by the arbitrary output of gold, but by the output of the
nation’s wealth, and by the nation’s needs, and no artificial obstacles
should arrest the growth of national wealth. We do put obstacles in the
way. Banks must keep an eye on their approximate reserves. This is why
they refuse to lend at times, and send wealth-producers to the Bank of
England. We have to put up with this in our present system. But to say
that some hypothetical ratio, which no one can agree upon, will save us
in certain grave, incalculable contingencies is as untenable as many
another economic hypothesis which has no relation to the complexity of
human character and temperament.
But the theorists have insisted in years past, it is not the national
needs we have to consider in a time of crisis; it is the international
claims upon us. Look, they say, at the enormous foreign credits here,
placing unlimited power in the hands of foreigners to take gold from
us _in the time of war_. Well, the war has come, the greatest of all
wars, the war we and the world most dreaded, and all these pre-existing
fears have not been realized. Foreign credits are offset by foreign
liabilities here. Instead of gold being taken abroad in great quantity
the exact opposite has occurred, and why should it never recur?
Gold has come to London in quantities never dreamed of and never
experienced, proving that the dimensions of this hypothetical danger
were greatly magnified.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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