The World of Flying Saucers: A Scientific Examination of a Major Myth of the Space AgeMenzel, Donald H. (Donald Howard)
Science
The World of Flying Saucers: A Scientific Examination of a Major Myth of the Space Age
Menzel, Donald H. (Donald Howard)
Unidentified flying objects
On the afternoon of December 29, 1956, a photographer for the Seattle
_Times_ was on top of Pigtail Peak near White Pass, Washington (not
far from the area where Arnold’s nine disks had appeared), taking ski
pictures for the rotogravure section of the Sunday _Times_. The weather
was beautiful. Down in the pass temperatures hovered near freezing,
but the slopes were warmed by sunlight that filtered down through thin
cirrus clouds and raised the temperature to a balmy fifty degrees. Just
at sunset a strange object suddenly appeared off toward the northeast
horizon. Several skiers urged the photographer to take a picture of the
“flying saucer,” but since it was still far away and indistinct, he
waited. The first object, now followed by a second one, moved rapidly
toward Mount Rainier, began to sharpen in outline, and both were soon
so clearly visible that he was able to snap his unusual picture. The
photograph shows two apparently solid, disklike objects, flattened,
brilliantly white but dark at the bottom, apparently linked together by
white streamers, skimming toward the mountain peak (Plate Ia).
Recognizing the close resemblance between the objects in the photograph
and those Arnold described, Reed made a full analysis of the weather
conditions prevailing at the time the picture was taken. From
radiosonde data provided by the Seattle-Tacoma Airport, he obtained
measurements of the size of the clouds, their height above the
mountains, wind directions, and temperature and humidity at mountain
height and cloud height. Obviously the pattern of weather conditions
that prevailed that day was suitable for the formation of saucerlike
clouds.
To test the hypothesis that Arnold also had seen such clouds, he then
obtained records of the weather data for June 24, 1947, to determine
whether atmospheric conditions on the two dates were basically similar.
“To be comparable, winds would have to be blowing from the north or
northwest in Mr. Arnold’s case since the objects were sighted to the
south and southeast of the peak. The air would have to be dry at lower
elevations and moisture would have to be spreading in at higher levels.
An inspection of the historical maps reveals that, indeed, all these
conditions were met.”[II-29]
Reed concludes that, although we can never know for certain, the
implication that the _Times_ photographer and Kenneth Arnold viewed
essentially the same phenomenon seems “inescapable.” This interesting
hypothesis, however, requires the presence of undulating air currents
and turbulence great enough to endanger a plane in flight. Since Arnold
specifically mentioned the smooth, calm flying, the mirage explanation
remains the most probable one.
[II-1] Air Force Files.
[II-2] Arnold, K., and Palmer, R. A. _The Coming of the Saucers._
Amherst, Wisconsin: privately printed, 1952.
[II-3] _Fate_, Vol. I, No. 1 (Spring 1948).
[II-4] _Fate_, Vol. I, No. 2 (Summer 1948).
[II-5] _Fate_, Vol. I, No. 3 (Fall 1948).
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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