Militarists, however, appraised the situation differently. National
honor demanded that Turkey go to the assistance of her allies. But,
more than that, national security demanded the decisive defeat of the
Entente Powers. As contrasted with the firm friendship of Germany
for Turkey, it was pointed out, there was the traditional policy of
Russia to dismember the Ottoman Empire and of France and Great Britain
to infringe upon Ottoman sovereignty whenever opportunity presented
itself. A victorious Russia would certainly appropriate Constantinople,
and as “compensations” France would take Syria and England Mesopotamia.
By closing the Dardanelles and declaring war, Turkey could deal Russian
economic and military power a blow from which the empire of the
Tsars might never recover. By associating herself with the seemingly
irresistible military forces of Germany, Turkey might once and for
all eliminate Russia—the feared and hated enemy of both Turks and
Germans—from Near Eastern affairs. In addition, British security in
Egypt might be shaken, and the French colonial empire in North Africa
might be menaced by a Pan-Islamic revival. In these circumstances
the war might be for Turkey a war of liberation, from which only the
craven-hearted would shrink.
For a time, however, practical considerations led to the maintenance
of Ottoman neutrality. “To Germany the ‘sphere of influence’ in
Turkey was of far greater economic and political importance than all
her ‘colonies’ in Africa and in the South Seas put together. The
latter, under the German flag, were an obvious and quick prey to Great
Britain’s naval superiority, but so long as Turkey remained out of
the war the German sphere of influence in Anatolia and Mesopotamia
was protected by the neutral Crescent flag. As soon as Turkey entered
the war, however, Great Britain’s naval superiority could be brought
to bear upon Germany’s interests in the Near East as well as upon her
interests in Africa and Oceanica. If German imperialists were devoted
to a Berlin-to-Bagdad _Mittel-Europa_ project, there were British
imperialists whose hearts and minds were set upon a Suez-to-Singapore
South-Asia project. The Ottoman Empire occupied a strategic position
in both schemes. A neutral Turkey, on the whole, was favorable to
German imperialism. A Turkey in armed alliance with Germany presented a
splendid opportunity for British imperialism.”[1]
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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