Vaccination a Delusion: Its Penal Enforcement a Crime: Proved by the Official Evidence in the Reports of the Royal CommissionWallace, Alfred Russel
Science
Vaccination a Delusion: Its Penal Enforcement a Crime: Proved by the Official Evidence in the Reports of the Royal Commission
Wallace, Alfred Russel
Vaccination
In determining what statistics really mean the graphic is the only
scientific method, since, except in a few very simple cases, long tables
of figures are confusing; and if divided up and averages taken, as is
often done, they can be manipulated so as to conceal their real teaching.
Diagrams, on the other hand, enable us to see the whole bearing of the
variations that occur, while for comparisons of one set of figures with
another their superiority is overwhelming. This is especially the case
with the statistics of epidemics and of general mortality, because the
variations are so irregular and often so large as to render tables of
figures very puzzling, while any just comparison of several tables with
each other becomes impossible. I shall therefore put all the statistics I
have to lay before my readers in the form of diagrams, which, I believe,
with a little explanation, will enable any one to grasp the main points
of the argument.
LONDON MORTALITY AND SMALL-POX
The first and largest of the diagrams illustrating this question is that
exhibiting the mortality of London from the year 1760 down to the present
day (see end of volume). It is divided into two portions, that from 1750
to 1834 being derived from the old “Bills of Mortality,” that from 1838
to 1896 from the Reports of the Registrar-General.
The “Bills of Mortality” are the only material available for the first
period, and they are far inferior in accuracy to the modern registration,
but they are probably of a fairly uniform character throughout, and
may therefore be as useful for purposes of comparison as if they were
more minutely accurate. It is admitted that they did not include the
whole of the deaths, and the death-rates calculated from the estimated
population will therefore be too low as compared with those of the
Registrar-General, but the _course_ of each death rate—its various
risings or fallings—will probably be nearly true.[7] The years are given
along the bottom of the diagram, and the deaths per million living
are indicated at the two ends and in the centre, the last four years
of the Bills of Mortality being omitted because they are considered to
be especially inaccurate. The upper line gives the total death-rate
from all causes, the middle line the death-rate from the chief zymotic
diseases—measles, scarlet-fever, diphtheria, whooping-cough and, fevers
generally, excluding small-pox, and the lower line small-pox only. The
same diseases, as nearly as they can be identified in the Bills of
Mortality according to Dr. Creighton, are given in the earlier portion
of the diagram from the figures given in his great work, _A History of
Epidemics in Britain_. With the exception of these zymotics the diagram
is the same as that presented to the Royal Commission (3rd Report,
diagram J.), but it is carried back to an earlier date.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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