Volcanoes: What They are and What They TeachJudd, John W. (John Wesley)
Science
Volcanoes: What They are and What They Teach
Judd, John W. (John Wesley)
Volcanoes
There are, however, some observations which lead us to hope that the
time may not be far distant when we shall have so £Eur obtained a
knowledge of the conditions on which volcanic action depends as to be
able to form some judgment as to its manifestations in the future at
any particular locality. But we must recollect that these conditions
axe very numerous and complicated, and that some of them may lie almost
entirely outside our sphere of observation; hence hasty attempts in
this direction, such as have recently been made, are to be deprecated
by every true lover of science.
Concerning the eruptions that have taken place at those volcanic
centres which have been known from a remote antiquity, we have records
from which we can determine the intervals separating these outbursts
and their relative violence. A critical examination of these records
leads to the following conclusions:--
(1.) A long period of quiescence is generally followed by an eruption
which is either of long duration or of great violence.
(2.) A long-continued, or very violent eruption is usually followed by
a prolonged period of repose.
(3.) Feeble and short eruptions usually succeed one another at brief
intervals.
(4.) As a general rule, the violence of a great eruption is inversely
proportional to its duration.
It will be seen that these general conclusions are in perfect harmony
with the theory that volcanic outbursts are due to the accumulation
of steam at volcanic centres, and that the tension of this imprisoned
gas eventually overcomes the repressing forces which tend to prevent
its manifestation. Before astronomers had learnt to determine all
the conditions on which the production of eclipses depends, they had
found that these phenomena succeed one another at regular intervals.
The discovery of such astronomical cycles was a great advance in our
knowledge of the heavenly bodies, and in the same way the determination
of these general relations between the intensity and duration of
volcanic outbursts and the intervals of time which separate them may
be regarded as the first step towards the discovery of the laws which
govern volcanic activity.
In the actual determination of the conditions upon which the occurrence
of volcanic eruptions depends, it must be confessed, however, that
very little has as yet been done. This is in part due to the fact that
some at least of these conditions lie beyond the limits of direct
observation. But it must also be admitted, on the other hand, that
little has been as yet accomplished towards the careful and systematic
observation of those phenomena which may, and probably do, exert an
influence in bringing about volcanic outbursts.
[Sidenote: INFLUENCE OF ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS.]
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