The knowledge that this was probably the most perilous point in his
passage would have caused Wilkinson to hurry past with all possible
speed, but his uncle interrupted him with a grim laugh.
"That need give you no concern, my young friend," he said curtly, "for
the company does not carry any insurance."
A trace of Mr. Wilkinson's normal impudence returned momentarily to his
tone when he replied:--
"My dear sir, didn't I say that I had made a long preliminary
investigation of this? You can scarcely hold my intelligence at so low
a figure as to think that I didn't know _that_ fact. That's why I'm
here--because I _do_ know it."
It may have been the effect of the return to the normal in his
step-nephew's tone, or it may have been merely Mr. Hurd's business
method, which expelled his next remark from sardonic lips.
"Then you need but one more fact to make your knowledge of the subject
complete, and that I will now give you. Not only does my company carry
no insurance, but it never intends or expects to. Is there anything
else this morning?"
Charlie smiled calmly, unmoved.
"Now we are ready to begin, sir. You have disbelieved in insurance so
strongly and so long that such a remark was exactly what I expected you
to make. In fact, I should have been not only surprised, but
positively embarrassed, had you not made it. Now, I repeat, we are
ready to talk business. And I have your promise to listen to my plan."
It did not occur to the magnate that he had made no such promise, until
Wilkinson was well launched; after that, he forgot about it.
"Did any one ever call to your attention, sir, the fact that the
statistics show that the fire losses on traction schedules in the
Eastern states exceed the insurance premiums on those schedules by
nearly thirty-five per cent?"
Mr. Hurd shook his head shortly.
"I did not know it."
Wilkinson did not know it either, but it could not be disproved, and
served excellently as a gambit.
"And I am not interested in other traction companies' fires," added his
uncle.
"No, of course not. But the law of average works in the end. Your
properties are subject to exactly the same conditions and hazards as
others, and in the end the Massachusetts Light, Heat, and Traction
Company will incur more in losses than it would ever have to pay in
premiums. In the long run the average wins. So far you have been
surprisingly fortunate, and that is another reason why you should begin
now to insure. The law of average is perfectly inexorable, and every
year of low losses brings you nearer the big losses that are bound to
come. You've been gambling, and now is the time to play safe."
"Perhaps, my boy," Mr. Hurd replied with amusement, "you believe these
things that you quote so glibly. Perhaps not. Let us assume that you
do. Therefore let me ask you this: if the insurance companies pay more
losses than they get in premiums on traction schedules, why don't they
cut off this loss by ceasing to insure them? Hey?"
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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