The English works of Thomas Hobbes of Malmesbury, Volume 05 (of 11)
Thomas Hobbes · en
(_e_) “But whether there be a necessary connexion of all natural causes
from the beginning, so as they must all have concurred as they have
done, &c, would require a further examination, if it were pertinent to
this question of liberty; but it is not. It is sufficient to my purpose
to have showed, &c.” If there be a necessary connexion of all natural
causes from the beginning, then there is no doubt but that all things
happen necessarily, which is that that I have all this while maintained.
But whether there be or no, he says, it requires a further examination.
Hitherto therefore he knows not whether it be true or no, and
consequently all his arguments hitherto have been of no effect, nor hath
he showed anything to prove, what he purposed, that elective actions are
not necessitated. And whereas a little before he says, that to my
arguments to prove that sufficient causes are necessary, he hath already
answered; it seemeth he distrusteth his own answer, and answers again to
the two instances of _casting ambs-ace_, and _raining or not raining
to-morrow_; but brings no other argument to prove the cast thrown not to
be necessarily thrown, but this, that he does not deliberate whether he
shall throw that cast or not. Which argument may perhaps prove that the
casting of it proceedeth not from free will, but proves not anything
against the antecedent necessity of it. And to prove that it is not
necessary that it should rain or not rain to-morrow; after telling us
that the Ethiopian rains cause the inundation of Nilus: that in some
eastern countries they have rain only twice a year, which the Scripture,
he saith, calleth _the former and the latter rain_; (I thought he had
known it by the experience of some travellers, but I see he only
gathereth it from that phrase in Scripture of _former and latter rain_);
I say, after he has told us this, to prove that it is not necessary it
should rain or not rain to-morrow he saith that “in our climate the
natural causes, celestial and sublunary, do not produce rain so
necessarily at set times, as in the eastern countries; neither can we
say so certainly and infallibly, it will rain to-morrow, or it will not
rain to-morrow”. By this argument a man may take the height of the
Bishop’s logic. “In our climate the natural causes do not produce rain
so necessarily at set times, as in some eastern countries. Therefore
they do not produce rain necessarily in our climate, then when they do
produce it”. And again, “we cannot say so certainly and infallibly, it
will rain to-morrow or it will not rain to-morrow; therefore it is not
necessary either that it should rain, or that it should not rain
to-morrow”: as if nothing were necessary the necessity whereof we know
not. Another reason, he saith, why my instances are impertinent, is
because “they extend only to an hypothetical necessity”, that is, that
the necessity is not in the antecedent causes; and thereupon challengeth