A System of Logic: Ratiocinative and Inductive, 7th Edition, Vol. I
John Stuart Mill · en
§ 6. We can now understand how an experimental may transform itself into
a deductive science by the mere progress of experiment. In an
experimental science, the inductions, as we have said, lie detached, as,
_a_ a mark of _b_, _c_ a mark of _d_, _e_ a mark of _f_, and so on: now,
a new set of instances, and a consequent new induction, may at any time
bridge over the interval between two of these unconnected arches; _b_,
for example, may be ascertained to be a mark of _c_, which enables us
thenceforth to prove deductively that _a_ is a mark of _c_. Or, as
sometimes happens, some comprehensive induction may raise an arch high
in the air, which bridges over hosts of them at once: _b_, _d_, _f_, and
all the rest, turning out to be marks of some one thing, or of things
between which a connexion has already been traced. As when Newton
discovered that the motions, whether regular or apparently anomalous, of
all the bodies of the solar system, (each of which motions had been
inferred by a separate logical operation, from separate marks,) were all
marks of moving round a common centre, with a centripetal force varying
directly as the mass, and inversely as the square of the distance from
that centre. This is the greatest example which has yet occurred of the
transformation, at one stroke, of a science which was still to a great
degree merely experimental, into a deductive science.
Transformations of the same nature, but on a smaller scale, continually
take place in the less advanced branches of physical knowledge, without
enabling them to throw off the character of experimental sciences. Thus
with regard to the two unconnected propositions before cited, namely,
Acids redden vegetable blues, Alkalies make them green; it is remarked
by Liebig, that all blue colouring matters which are reddened by acids
(as well as, reciprocally, all red colouring matters which are rendered
blue by alkalies) contain nitrogen: and it is quite possible that this
circumstance may one day furnish a bond of connexion between the two
propositions in question, by showing that the antagonistic action of
acids and alkalies in producing or destroying the colour blue, is the
result of some one, more general, law. Although this connecting of
detached generalizations is so much gain, it tends but little to give a
deductive character to any science as a whole; because the new courses
of observation and experiment, which thus enable us to connect together
a few general truths, usually make known to us a still greater number of
unconnected new ones. Hence chemistry, though similar extensions and
simplifications of its generalizations are continually taking place, is
still in the main an experimental science; and is likely so to continue
unless some comprehensive induction should be hereafter arrived at,
which, like Newton's, shall connect a vast number of the smaller known
inductions together, and change the whole method of the science at once.