A System of Logic: Ratiocinative and Inductive, 7th Edition, Vol. I
John Stuart Mill · en
§ 1. The portion of the present inquiry upon which we are now about to
enter, may be considered as the principal, both from its surpassing in
intricacy all the other branches, and because it relates to a process
which has been shown in the preceding Book to be that in which the
investigation of nature essentially consists. We have found that all
Inference, consequently all Proof, and all discovery of truths not
self-evident, consists of inductions, and the interpretation of
inductions: that all our knowledge, not intuitive, comes to us
exclusively from that source. What Induction is, therefore, and what
conditions render it legitimate, cannot but be deemed the main question
of the science of logic--the question which includes all others. It is,
however, one which professed writers on logic have almost entirely
passed over. The generalities of the subject have not been altogether
neglected by metaphysicians; but, for want of sufficient acquaintance
with the processes by which science has actually succeeded in
establishing general truths, their analysis of the inductive operation,
even when unexceptionable as to correctness, has not been specific
enough to be made the foundation of practical rules, which might be for
induction itself what the rules of the syllogism are for the
interpretation of induction: while those by whom physical science has
been carried to its present state of improvement--and who, to arrive at
a complete theory of the process, needed only to generalize, and adapt
to all varieties of problems, the methods which they themselves employed
in their habitual pursuits--never until very lately made any serious
attempt to philosophize on the subject, nor regarded the mode in which
they arrived at their conclusions as deserving of study, independently
of the conclusions themselves.
§ 2. For the purposes of the present inquiry, Induction may be defined,
the operation of discovering and proving general propositions. It is
true that (as already shown) the process of indirectly ascertaining
individual facts, is as truly inductive as that by which we establish
general truths. But it is not a different kind of induction; it is a
form of the very same process: since, on the one hand, generals are but
collections of particulars, definite in kind but indefinite in number;
and on the other hand, whenever the evidence which we derive from
observation of known cases justifies us in drawing an inference
respecting even one unknown case, we should on the same evidence be
justified in drawing a similar inference with respect to a whole class
of cases. The inference either does not hold at all, or it holds in all
cases of a certain description; in all cases which, in certain definable
respects, resemble those we have observed.