A System of Logic: Ratiocinative and Inductive, 7th Edition, Vol. I — John Stuart Mill — John Shaqi
A System of Logic: Ratiocinative and Inductive, 7th Edition, Vol. I
John Stuart Mill · en
In what way the material circumstances are to be distinguished from
those which are immaterial, or why some of the circumstances are
material and others not so, we are not yet ready to point out. We must
first observe, that there is a principle implied in the very statement
of what Induction is; an assumption with regard to the course of nature
and the order of the universe; namely, that there are such things in
nature as parallel cases; that what happens once, will, under a
sufficient degree of similarity of circumstances, happen again, and not
only again, but as often as the same circumstances recur. This, I say,
is an assumption, involved in every case of induction. And, if we
consult the actual course of nature, we find that the assumption is
warranted. The universe, so far as known to us, is so constituted, that
whatever is true in any one case, is true in all cases of a certain
description; the only difficulty is, to find what description.
This universal fact, which is our warrant for all inferences from
experience, has been described by different philosophers in different
forms of language: that the course of nature is uniform; that the
universe is governed by general laws; and the like. One of the most
usual of these modes of expression, but also one of the most inadequate,
is that which has been brought into familiar use by the metaphysicians
of the school of Reid and Stewart. The disposition of the human mind to
generalize from experience,--a propensity considered by these
philosophers as an instinct of our nature,--they usually describe under
some such name as "our intuitive conviction that the future will
resemble the past." Now it has been well pointed out by Mr. Bailey,[8]
that (whether the tendency be or not an original and ultimate element of
our nature), Time, in its modifications of past, present, and future,
has no concern either with the belief itself, or with the grounds of it.
We believe that fire will burn to-morrow, because it burned to-day and
yesterday; but we believe, on precisely the same grounds, that it burned
before we were born, and that it burns this very day in Cochin-China. It
is not from the past to the future, as past and future, that we infer,
but from the known to the unknown; from facts observed to facts
unobserved; from what we have perceived, or been directly conscious of,
to what has not come within our experience. In this last predicament is
the whole region of the future; but also the vastly greater portion of
the present and of the past.