A System of Logic: Ratiocinative and Inductive, 7th Edition, Vol. II
John Stuart Mill · en
§ 2. It is on the whole more usual, however, to extend the name of
analogical evidence to arguments from any sort of resemblance, provided
they do not amount to a complete induction: without peculiarly
distinguishing resemblance of relations. Analogical reasoning, in this
sense, may be reduced to the following formula:--Two things resemble
each other in one or more respects; a certain proposition is true of the
one; therefore it is true of the other. But we have nothing here by
which to discriminate analogy from induction, since this type will serve
for all reasoning from experience. In the strictest induction, equally
with the faintest analogy, we conclude because A resembles B in one or
more properties, that it does so in a certain other property. The
difference is, that in the case of a complete induction it has been
previously shown, by due comparison of instances, that there is an
invariable conjunction between the former property or properties and the
latter property; but in what is called analogical reasoning, no such
conjunction has been made out. There have been no opportunities of
putting in practice the Method of Difference, or even the Method of
Agreement; but we conclude (and that is all which the argument of
analogy amounts to) that a fact _m_, known to be true of A, is more
likely to be true of B if B agrees with A in some of its properties
(even though no connexion is known to exist between _m_ and those
properties), than if no resemblance at all could be traced between B and
any other thing known to possess the attribute _m_.
To this argument it is of course requisite, that the properties common
to A with B shall be merely not known to be connected with _m_; they
must not be properties known to be unconnected with it. If, either by
processes of elimination, or by deduction from previous knowledge of the
laws of the properties in question, it can be concluded that they have
nothing to do with _m_, the argument of analogy is put out of court. The
supposition must be that _m_ is an effect really dependent on some
property of A, but we know not on which. We cannot point out any of the
properties of A, which is the cause of _m_, or united with it by any
law. After rejecting all which we know to have nothing to do with it,
there remain several between which we are unable to decide: of which
remaining properties, B possesses one or more. This accordingly, we
consider as affording grounds, of more or less strength, for concluding
by analogy that B possesses the attribute _m_.