A System of Logic, Ratiocinative and Inductive (Vol. 1 of 2)
John Stuart Mill · en
We here, therefore, close the Second Book. The theory of Induction, in the
most comprehensive sense of the term, will form the subject of the Third.
BOOK III. OF INDUCTION.
“According to the doctrine now stated, the highest, or rather the
only proper object of physics, is to ascertain those established
conjunctions of successive events, which constitute the order of
the universe; to record the phenomena which it exhibits to our
observations, or which it discloses to our experiments; and to
refer these phenomena to their general laws.”—D. STEWART,
_Elements of the Philosophy of the Human Mind_, vol. ii. chap. iv.
sect. 1.
CHAPTER I. PRELIMINARY OBSERVATIONS ON INDUCTION IN GENERAL.
§ 1. The portion of the present inquiry upon which we are now about to
enter, may be considered as the principal, both from its surpassing in
intricacy all the other branches, and because it relates to a process
which has been shown in the preceding Book to be that in which the
investigation of nature essentially consists. We have found that all
Inference, consequently all Proof, and all discovery of truths not
self-evident, consists of inductions, and the interpretation of
inductions: that all our knowledge, not intuitive, comes to us exclusively
from that source. What Induction is, therefore, and what conditions render
it legitimate, cannot but be deemed the main question of the science of
logic—the question which includes all others. It is, however, one which
professed writers on logic have almost entirely passed over. The
generalities of the subject have not been altogether neglected by
metaphysicians; but, for want of sufficient acquaintance with the
processes by which science has actually succeeded in establishing general
truths, their analysis of the inductive operation, even when
unexceptionable as to correctness, has not been specific enough to be made
the foundation of practical rules, which might be for induction itself
what the rules of the syllogism are for the interpretation of induction:
while those by whom physical science has been carried to its present state
of improvement—and who, to arrive at a complete theory of the process,
needed only to generalize, and adapt to all varieties of problems, the
methods which they themselves employed in their habitual pursuits—never
until very lately made any serious attempt to philosophize on the subject,
nor regarded the mode in which they arrived at their conclusions as
deserving of study, independently of the conclusions themselves.