A System of Logic, Ratiocinative and Inductive (Vol. 1 of 2)
John Stuart Mill · en
It will scarcely be contended that Kepler’s operation was an Induction in
this sense of the term. The statement, that Mars moves in an elliptical
orbit, was no generalization from individual cases to a class of cases.
Neither was it an extension to all time, of what had been found true at
some particular time. The whole amount of generalization which the case
admitted of, was already completed, or might have been so. Long before the
elliptic theory was thought of, it had been ascertained that the planets
returned periodically to the same apparent places; the series of these
places was, or might have been, completely determined, and the apparent
course of each planet marked out on the celestial globe in an
uninterrupted line. Kepler did not extend an observed truth to other cases
than those in which it had been observed: he did not widen the _subject_
of the proposition which expressed the observed facts. He left the subject
as it was; the alteration he made was in the predicate. Instead of saying,
the successive places of Mars are so and so, he summed them up in the
statement, that the successive places of Mars are points in an ellipse. It
is true, this statement, as Dr. Whewell says, was not the sum of the
observations _merely_; it was the sum of the observations _seen under a
new point of view_.(60) But it was not the sum of _more_ than the
observations, as a real induction is. It took in no cases but those which
had been actually observed, or which could have been inferred from the
observations before the new point of view presented itself. There was not
that transition from known cases to unknown, which constitutes Induction
in the original and acknowledged meaning of the term.