A System of Logic, Ratiocinative and Inductive (Vol. 1 of 2)
John Stuart Mill · en
This universal fact, which is our warrant for all inferences from
experience, has been described by different philosophers in different
forms of language: that the course of nature is uniform; that the universe
is governed by general laws; and the like. One of the most usual of these
modes of expression, but also one of the most inadequate, is that which
has been brought into familiar use by the metaphysicians of the school of
Reid and Stewart. The disposition of the human mind to generalize from
experience,—a propensity considered by these philosophers as an instinct
of our nature,—they usually describe under some such name as “our
intuitive conviction that the future will resemble the past.” Now it has
been well pointed out, that (whether the tendency be or not an original
and ultimate element of our nature), Time, in its modifications of past,
present, and future, has no concern either with the belief itself, or with
the grounds of it. We believe that fire will burn to-morrow, because it
burned to-day and yesterday; but we believe, on precisely the same
grounds, that it burned before we were born, and that it burns this very
day in Cochin-China. It is not from the past to the future, _as_ past and
future, that we infer, but from the known to the unknown; from facts
observed to facts unobserved; from what we have perceived, or been
directly conscious of, to what has not come within our experience. In this
last predicament is the whole region of the future; but also the vastly
greater portion of the present and of the past.