A System of Logic, Ratiocinative and Inductive (Vol. 1 of 2)
John Stuart Mill · en
succession in our conclusions. A similar remark might be extended to every
other class of phenomena really peculiar; and, had it been attended to,
would have prevented many chimerical attempts at demonstrations of the
indemonstrable, and explanations which do not explain.
It is not, therefore, enough for us that the laws of space, which are only
laws of simultaneous phenomena, and the laws of number, which though true
of successive phenomena do not relate to their succession, possess the
rigorous certainty and universality of which we are in search. We must
endeavour to find some law of succession which has those same attributes,
and is therefore fit to be made the foundation of processes for
discovering, and of a test for verifying, all other uniformities of
succession. This fundamental law must resemble the truths of geometry in
their most remarkable peculiarity, that of never being, in any instance
whatever, defeated or suspended by any change of circumstances.
Now among all those uniformities in the succession of phenomena, which
common observation is sufficient to bring to light, there are very few
which have any, even apparent, pretension to this rigorous
indefeasibility: and of those few, one only has been found capable of
completely sustaining it. In that one, however, we recognise a law which
is universal also in another sense; it is coextensive with the entire
field of successive phenomena, all instances whatever of succession being
examples of it. This law is the Law of Causation. The truth, that every
fact which has a beginning has a cause, is coextensive with human
experience.
This generalization may appear to some minds not to amount to much, since
after all it asserts only this: “it is a law, that every event depends on
some law.” We must not, however, conclude that the generality of the
principle is merely verbal; it will be found on inspection to be no vague
or unmeaning assertion, but a most important and really fundamental truth.
§ 2. The notion of Cause being the root of the whole theory of Induction,
it is indispensable that this idea should, at the very outset of our
inquiry, be, with the utmost practicable degree of precision, fixed and
determined. If, indeed, it were necessary for the purpose of inductive
logic that the strife should be quelled, which has so long raged among the
different schools of metaphysicians, respecting the origin and analysis of
our idea of causation; the promulgation, or at least the general
reception, of a true theory of induction, might be considered desperate,
for a long time to come. But the science of the Investigation of Truth by
means of Evidence, is happily independent of many of the controversies
which perplex the science of the ultimate constitution of the human mind,
and is under no necessity of pushing the analysis of mental phenomena to
that extreme limit which alone ought to satisfy a metaphysician.