A System of Logic, Ratiocinative and Inductive (Vol. 1 of 2)
John Stuart Mill · en
occurrence of other antecedents. That which will be followed by a given
consequent when, and only when, some third circumstance also exists, is
not the cause, even though no case should have ever occurred in which the
phenomenon took place without it.
Invariable sequence, therefore, is not synonymous with causation, unless
the sequence, besides being invariable, is unconditional. There are
sequences, as uniform in past experience as any others whatever, which yet
we do not regard as cases of causation, but as conjunctions in some sort
accidental. Such, to an accurate thinker, is that of day and night. The
one might have existed for any length of time, and the other not have
followed the sooner for its existence; it follows only if certain other
antecedents exist; and where those antecedents existed, it would follow in
any case. No one, probably, ever called night the cause of day; mankind
must so soon have arrived at the very obvious generalization, that the
state of general illumination which we call day would follow the presence
of a sufficiently luminous body, whether darkness had preceded or not.
We may define, therefore, the cause of a phenomenon, to be the antecedent,
or the concurrence of antecedents, on which it is invariably and
_unconditionally_ consequent. Or if we adopt the convenient modification
of the meaning of the word cause, which confines it to the assemblage of
positive conditions without the negative, then instead of
“unconditionally,” we must say, “subject to no other than negative
conditions.”
It is evident, that from a limited number of unconditional sequences,
there will result a much greater number of conditional ones. Certain
causes being given, that is, certain antecedents which are unconditionally
followed by certain consequents; the mere coexistence of these causes will
give rise to an unlimited number of additional uniformities. If two causes
exist together, the effects of both will exist together; and if many
causes coexist, these causes (by what we shall term hereafter the
intermixture of their laws) will give rise to new effects, accompanying or
succeeding one another in some particular order, which order will be
invariable while the causes continue to coexist, but no longer. The motion
of the earth in a given orbit round the sun, is a series of changes which
follow one another as antecedents and consequents, and will continue to do
so while the sun’s attraction, and the force with which the earth tends to
advance in a direct line through space, continue to coexist in the same
quantities as at present. But vary either of these causes, and the
unvarying succession of motions would cease to take place. The series of
the earth’s motions, therefore, though a case of sequence invariable
within the limits of human experience, is not a case of causation. It is
not unconditional.