A Brief History of Panics and Their Periodical Occurrence in the United StatesJuglar, Clément
History
A Brief History of Panics and Their Periodical Occurrence in the United States
Juglar, Clément
Depressions
Added to the difficulties resulting from our languishing trade at home,
we suffered reflectedly from the constriction of business in Europe,
which was acutely aware that the disturbance in the Balkans threatened
to destroy the peace of Europe. Conditions were not yet quite ready
there for a cataclysmic war. For example, statistics had not quite
demonstrated to Germany that the physique of her people and the rate of
increase of their families were declining while the expenditures for
superpreparedness for war was demanding either retroaction in that
regard or else an expenditure from the principal of their property.
Germany did make in one year the sacrifice of five per cent. of her
principal for yet fuller preparedness for war. Indeed since late in
1908, it is fair to say that consciously or unconsciously the whole
world has been in travail. Whatever broad measures statesmen anywhere
have promulgated, have been subjected to the unusual stress and strain
of world-wide unrest. Like the treacherous undertow that wrenches those
who venture in, has been the world unrest upon all phases, incidences,
and predicates of business. Some of us have long realized this; some
have not.
With November, 1908, came the election of that great constitutionist,
Taft, to the American Presidency upon a platform less radical than that
of his opponent. This heartened the constructive forces of the country.
But very little upbuilding resulted. The coming revision of the tariff
was of itself sufficient further to restrict business undertakings, and
to cause many great producers of goods to arrange to unload at lowering
prices their actual and their future outputs. But the conserving of
resources since the panic had helped the superficial situation, and the
spasmodic stimulus that so often follows a general heightening of the
tariff showed itself after the adoption of the tariff bill in August,
1909.
The illness and after a month or two the death of the great business
leader, Harriman, caused in the securities market a great decline.
Fundamental conditions were unsettled. The best that could be expected
was a see-saw movement until some power should set our country and the
business world at large once more securely on their respective bases.
The Anti-Trust Law, the Interstate Commerce Law, and such like
influences continued to disturb the United States, while Europe was
beneath the surface unendingly agitated.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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