A Brief History of Panics and Their Periodical Occurrence in the United StatesJuglar, Clément
History
A Brief History of Panics and Their Periodical Occurrence in the United States
Juglar, Clément
Depressions
The November Presidential election showed that Woodrow Wilson received
435 votes, Mr. Roosevelt 90, and Mr. Taft 8. However, the popular vote
for Woodrow Wilson was more than 1,000,000 below that cast for Messrs.
Roosevelt and Taft jointly, and about 2,000,000 short of a majority of
all the votes cast for the Presidential nominees--Socialist, Republican,
Democratic, and so on. But the vitally significant fact is that the
popular vote for the "stand-pat" candidate--Mr. Taft--was very small in
comparison with the joint vote of the three candidates whose platforms
called for a drastic handling of National policies,--Debs, Roosevelt,
and Wilson.
Drastic recasting of the rules of any game unsettles play. The market
dropped. But fortunately for the country the ripe and balanced and
active intellect and character of Woodrow Wilson, elected President,
lent much re-assurance against the extensive political surgery he had
been chosen to perform. All knew that he would be thorough and
reasoning. All the grievous handicaps that business suffers from
uncertainty of regulation, it was thought would be overcome as promptly
as possible. But the pledged great change of the tariff was enough to
induce retrenchment of business endeavor. With a major factor unusual in
any proposition, how can stability, much less progress, be expected in
any interest?
THE PANIC OF 19l3.--Retrogression in business began very early in 1913
and increased until mid-October, 1914. On October 3, 1913, the new
Tariff had become a law; but other reforms still jostled business.
However, by mid-October, 1914, the Interstate Commerce Commission seemed
to have become less radical in its views, the Industrial Trade
Commission was at work apparently studying the essentials of the
industrial situation, the United States Supreme Court was delivering
opinions in check of indeterminate statutory meddling with business and
the splendid potential of the Reserve Bank system was offering for use.
It is hard not to overstate the vast re-assurance offered to business by
linking together the banking power of the country through the Reserve
Bank system. Just as an enormously large number of troops skilfully
thrown into an endangered--a panicky--position will ensure success, so
can the vast resources of the Reserve Bank system restore financial
order when panic fear is declaring itself. During the past two years of
threatening from the disturbances in Mexico, our country has learned to
forecast the benefit that the Reserve Bank system predicates; but our
stay and confidence has been the cool and far-seeing statesmanship of
our great President, Woodrow Wilson.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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