A Plan for Securing Observations of the Variable StarsPickering, Edward C. (Edward Charles)
Science
A Plan for Securing Observations of the Variable Stars
Pickering, Edward C. (Edward Charles)
Variable stars
An elaborate bibliographical work on the variable stars has been
undertaken at this Observatory by Mr. Chandler. It will include the
collection of all available published observations of known or
suspected variables. A catalogue of suspected variables has thus
been prepared, doubtless containing many stars which are really
important variables. But it is also likely that many objects have
been introduced in the list by errors in the original observations.
Such stars often appear in one catalogue after another of suspected
variables, and it is difficult to prevent the continued circulation
of such an error. Of course if an experienced observer at any time
estimates a star as above or below its normal brightness, it is
impossible to prove that the observation was not correct, and the
star really variable. No amount of subsequent observing could prove
that it had not then, and then only, an abnormal brightness. We can,
however, prove that in all probability it does not belong to one or
more of the above classes, and thus make it more and more probable
that the observation is due to an error. If the star varies in light
by one magnitude, what will be the chances that we shall get a series
of observations having a range of variation of one fifth of a
magnitude? Evidently on the average, there will be only one chance
out of five that any observation shall fall in the same fifth of a
magnitude as another. The chances for three such observations
will be only 1/25 and for four 1/125, etc. These ratios expressed
decimally are .2, .04, .008, 0016, .0003, etc. Since the separate
determinations of the light of a constant star by the method given
below should not differ more than two or three tenths of a magnitude,
it is obvious that if the variations of the star are large, a few
observations would generally establish this fact. If the star belongs
to class four, observations on half a dozen evenings would hardly fail
to show the variation. Conversely, if no such variation is detected we
may be almost certain that the star is not a variable of that class, or
at least that the variation, if any, is not large. If the star belongs
to class two, it will change so slowly when near its maximum or
minimum that a variation might not be noted if the observations are
near together. An interval of several months should therefore be
allowed to take place, or perhaps it would be better to wait until
the star is again visible the following year. The total variation
in light is usually so great in these stars that the change will
often be visible at the first glance.
To prove that a star does not belong to the fifth class is a matter
of much greater difficulty. In fact it is almost impossible to prove
that it may not be an Algol star with a long period between the
minima. Since these stars may have their full brightness for nine
tenths of the time, it is obvious that they may be examined again
and again without happening to be seen at the time of a minimum.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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