Experience shows that the public generally is very slow to grasp the
situation and embrace the remedy. Indeed, at first there may be a
change of habit in the wrong direction, which actually facilitates the
Government’s operations. The public is so much accustomed to thinking
of money as the ultimate standard, that, when prices begin to rise,
believing that the rise must be temporary, they tend to hoard their
money and to postpone purchases, with the result that they hold in
monetary form a _larger_ aggregate of real value than before. And,
similarly, when the fall in the real value of the money is reflected
in the exchanges, foreigners, thinking that the fall is abnormal and
temporary, purchase the money for the purpose of hoarding it.
But sooner or later the second phase sets in. The public discover that
it is the holders of notes who suffer taxation and defray the expenses
of government, and they begin to change their habits and to economise
in their holding of notes. They can do this in various ways:--(1)
instead of keeping some part of their ultimate reserves in money they
can spend this money on durable objects, jewellery or household goods,
and keep their reserves in this form instead; (2) they can reduce the
amount of till-money and pocket-money that they keep and the average
length of time for which they keep it,[11] even at the cost of great
personal inconvenience; and (3) they can employ foreign money in many
transactions where it would have been more natural and convenient to
use their own.
[11] In Moscow the unwillingness to hold money except for the
shortest possible time reached at one period a fantastic
intensity. If a grocer sold a pound of cheese, he ran off
with the roubles as fast as his legs could carry him to
the Central Market to replenish his stocks by changing
them into cheese again, lest they lost their value before
he got there; thus justifying the prevision of economists
in naming the phenomenon “velocity of circulation”! In
Vienna, during the period of collapse, mushroom exchange
banks sprang up at every street corner, where you could
change your krone into Zurich francs within a few minutes
of receiving them, and so avoid the risk of loss during the
time it would take you to reach your usual bank. It became
a seasonable witticism to allege that a prudent man at a
café ordering a bock of beer should order a second bock at
the same time, even at the expense of drinking it tepid,
lest the price should rise meanwhile.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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