After the Rain : how the West lost the EastVaknin, Samuel
History
After the Rain : how the West lost the East
Vaknin, Samuel
Europe, Eastern -- Economic conditions -- 1989-; Europe, Eastern -- Politics and government -- 1989-
The transition from old technologies to a new one (the computer renders
many a technology obsolete) must not involve too much "creative
destruction". The costs of getting rid of old hardware, software, of
altering management techniques or adopting new ones, of shedding
redundant manpower, of searching for new employees to replace the
unqualified or unqualifiable, of installing new hardware, software and
of training new people in all levels of the corporation are enormous.
They must never exceed the added benefits of the newly introduced
technology in the long run. Hence the crux of the debate. Is IT more
expensive to introduce, run and maintain than the technologies that it
so confidently aims to replace? Will new technologies be spun off the
core IT in a pace sufficient to compensate for the disappearance of old
ones? As the technology mature, will it overcome its childhood maladies
(lack of operational reliability, bad design, non-specificity,
immaturity of the first generation of computer users, absence of user
friendliness and so on)?
Moreover, is IT an evolution or a veritable revolution? Does it merely
allow us to do more of the same only in a different way - or does it
open up hitherto unheard of vistas for human imagination and
creativity? The signals are mixed. IT did NOT succeed to do to human
endeavour what electricity, the internal combustion engine or even the
telegraph have done. It is also not clear at all that IT is a UNIVERSAL
phenomenon suitable to all climes and mentalities. The penetration of
both IT and the medium it gave rise to (the internet) is not uniform
throughout the world even where the purchasing power is similar and
even among the corporate class. Countries post communism should take
all this into consideration. Their economies may be too obsolete and
hidebound, poor and badly managed to absorb yet another critical change
in the form of IT. The introduction of IT into an ill-prepared market
or corporation can be and often is counter-productive and
growth-retarding.
The Cycle of the Internet
Then, of course, there is the Internet.
The Internet runs on computers but it is related to them in the same
way that a TV show is related to a TV set. To bundle to two, as is
often done today, obscures the true picture and can often be very
misleading. For instance: it is close to impossible to measure
productivity in the services sector, let alone is something as wildly
informal and dynamic as the internet. It is clear by now that the
Internet is a medium and, as such, is subject to the evolutionary cycle
of its predecessors. Central and Eastern Europe has just entered this
cycle while the USA is the most advanced.
The Internet is simply the latest in a series of networks, which
revolutionized our lives. A century before the Internet, the telegraph
and the telephone have been similarly heralded as "global" and
transforming.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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