After the stock market crash of November, 1929 : $b A supplementary chapter to the psychology of speculation issued in 1926Harper, Henry Howard
General
After the stock market crash of November, 1929 : $b A supplementary chapter to the psychology of speculation issued in 1926
Harper, Henry Howard
Depressions -- 1929; Speculation; Stock exchanges
“The upward pace of the stock market leads one to believe that the
financial district is up to its old trick of discounting in advance the
recovery of business from the trough it now finds itself in. To the
observation that it is going too fast, one can only agree, and add: ‘It
always does.’”
The old split-up, consolidation and stock-dividend chestnuts are being
industriously warmed over and the few scattering traders who saved
something out of the recent smash are beginning to nibble at the bait.
All of which shows that people are quick to forget their stock market
troubles and to return for more punishment. I make this observation in
the light of many painful recollections of earlier days.
The grist of stocks issued in the recent past is almost incalculable.
There are now six industrial companies with an aggregate capital of
171,927,540 shares outstanding; and from the side lines it looks as
if there ought to be time enough to start another boom when the stock
market gets over its present case of indigestion.
In the final analysis the following essentials should be constantly
borne in mind: _The stock and grain markets are always capable of
playing new tricks on you--of doing things you never dreamed of._ Who,
for example, could have imagined that with a world shortage of wheat,
that staple commodity would be selling in February at considerably
under ninety cents a bushel--nearly as low as corn!
Another important thing always to remember is, _not to buy more
stocks than you can pay for, or margin far below the lowest point you
think they can possibly reach. The extra profits to be derived from
over-trading are scarcely ever worth the risk incurred._
To sum up the whole situation in a word, those who would make money
speculating in the stock market should first understand that it
requires as much caution and business acumen as any other money-making
enterprise, plus some knowledge of the psychological handicaps; also
plus the rare faculty of maintaining a complete mastery over one’s
impulses, emotions and ambitions under the most heroic tests of
human endurance. All speculations, and even the most conservative
investments, have at least some slight element of risk; all lines of
business are more or less a gamble; marriage is a gamble; political
preferment is a gamble; in fact nearly everything in life, including
our very existence, is an uncertainty; yet people are not thereby
discouraged from entering into any and all of these ventures. Those
who look only for certainties have far to search and little to find in
this world.
* * * * *
Transcriber’s Notes:
Variations in spelling and hyphenation were retained as they appear in
the original publication, except that obvious typographical errors have
been corrected.
The following change was made:
p. 14: be inserted (to be the)
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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