After the stock market crash of November, 1929 : $b A supplementary chapter to the psychology of speculation issued in 1926Harper, Henry Howard
General
After the stock market crash of November, 1929 : $b A supplementary chapter to the psychology of speculation issued in 1926
Harper, Henry Howard
Depressions -- 1929; Speculation; Stock exchanges
In one of the rush seasons when the stock exchange transactions were
running from three to six million shares a day, with the tape lagging
an hour or more behind, I knew a man who put in an order to sell a
hundred shares short at $190, with a stop loss order at ten points
above the purchase price, and an hour or so later, without any advice
that the stock had been sold, he got notice that it had been bought in
on his “stop” at $200, resulting in a loss of a thousand dollars, plus
commission. Next morning, not having received any notice of the short
sale, he concluded that in the rush of business the order must have
miscarried, and therefore he was long of a hundred shares, on which by
the way he had a profit of five points. Shortly after the opening he
sold it, and at the same time sold a hundred shares short. Later in the
day he got word that his selling order of the day before had been duly
executed, but owing to some mixup it had not been promptly reported.
This made him three hundred shares short, with the stock climbing a
half point or more between sales. Before the close he covered the three
hundred shares at a loss of nearly four thousand dollars. The market
looked so strong that he decided to recoup his loss on the long side,
so he bought two hundred shares. But the following day while the bulls
paused for a resting spell the stock slipped back nine points, and
being a little upset over the result of his miscalculations, in a fit
of disgust he closed out his two hundred shares at an additional loss
of seventeen hundred dollars. Next day the bulls again took the stock
in hand and advanced it nineteen points. No wonder such maneuvers give
traders mental intoxication.
The collapse of the Florida real estate boom--which carried down dozens
of banks,--the great Mississippi flood, the devastating earthquakes
in California, the failure of a hundred or more banks throughout the
Northwest and such-like calamities had no more effect on the Wall
Street psychology than they would have had in quelling an epidemic of
smallpox. Some of the more conservative element, sensing the danger,
sold out their stocks, but after discovering their mistake they bought
them back at much higher prices and re-joined the procession. Therefore
many traders who had preached caution or moderation when the market was
thirty, fifty or a hundred points lower, were found consorting with the
most rampant bulls at the top. I know a man who sold out his Montgomery
Ward at $15.00 a share, and in 1928 after discovering his error in
judgment he bought it back at $425.00 a share. It was generally tipped
to go to a $1000--but it didn’t. After the November crash he told me he
had been “wiped off the map.”
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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