Agricultural pricesWallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Science
Agricultural prices
Wallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Agriculture -- Statistics; Farm produce; Prices
Prices may make supply and demand, and supply and demand may make
prices. First one has the lead, and then the other; they are constantly
acting and reacting. Before the war, the relationship in some
commodities might be expressed with almost mathematical exactness, but
there were constant little departures. Since the war prices have much
more often taken the initiative than they did before the war. The
result, of course, is a more violently fluctuating condition of both
supply and demand.
The problem which farmers and city consumers should put to the Board of
Trade people and the packers is: What are you doing to place prices at a
point which will result in a more uniform supply and a more uniform
demand?
COST OF PRODUCTION
The common man prefers to approach the question of price not from the
standpoint of supply and demand, but from the standpoint of cost of
production. The laboring man says that he has no quarrel with the
farmer, that in fact he is glad to pay the farmer what it costs him to
produce food. Most people take it for granted that the just price is
cost of production. In July of 1917, President Wilson gave his scholarly
definition of a just price: “By a just price I mean a price which will
sustain the industries concerned in a high state of efficiency, provide
a living for those who conduct them, enable them to pay good wages and
make possible the expansion of their enterprises which will, from time
to time, become necessary, as the stupendous undertaking of this great
war develops.”
The idea of a just price, covering cost of production and reasonable
profit, is considerably different from market price or supply-and-demand
price. The market price typically alternates considerably above and
considerably below the production cost of the bulk of the people engaged
in the enterprise. For instance, when prices go up and profits become
larger, new people are attracted into the business and production is
increased until finally there is more supply than there is demand, and
then prices have to go down and profits become losses, and the people
who can not produce except at the high prices must go out of business.
Both the farming world and the business world are composed of a great
many different men, each of whom is chasing a profit in his own way.
Many of these men are very short-sighted and are lured into an
apparently profitable business just at the wrong time, and in like
manner become discouraged with an apparently unprofitable business at
just the wrong time. Under the competitive regime, it is apparent to any
thoughtful business man that both in business and in farming the market
price or supply-and-demand price is almost never the same as cost of
production, but fluctuates in rather rhythmical manner, now above and
then below cost of production, tending to equal almost exactly, over any
long period of years, true production cost.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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